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Stadium Background

ASA vs Miguelense

Brazil Brazil

Copa Alagoas Estádio Municipal Coaracy da Mata Fonseca, Arapiraca
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Wandson
11' Event
Alex Bruno
18' Event
Wandson

AI Match Summary

ASA in this Copa Alagoas tie, finishing 6-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
ASA
6%
Draws
4%
Miguelense
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: ASA

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to ASA lately — more wins on the board than Miguelense.
  • Model gives ASA a 90% chance of winning this.
  • ASA have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor ASA, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 10%
Over 4.5 Goals 5%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
ASA Clean Sheet 20%
Miguelense Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ASA Miguelense
Matches Played 49 30
Wins 26 7
Draws 15 3
Losses 8 20
Goals Scored 0.88 1
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.20

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2026 Copa Alagoas
ASA vs Miguelense
6:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

ASA Compare

Top Goalscorer Wandson
2 Goals
Assists Leader Alex Bruno
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Miguelense Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ASA 85 / 100
Miguelense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ASA Miguelense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ASA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 6.00 goals per match.

ASA went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

ASA scored in 76% of their last 49 games.

Miguelense let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

ASA VS Miguelense
0.88 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.2
50% Over 1.5 60%
25% Over 2.5 40%
0% Over 3.5 20%

Recent Form & Match History

ASA

(Home)
26 Jul
ASA
5 : 1
Cianorte
18 Jul
Cianorte
0 : 1
ASA
12 Jul
ASA
4 : 0
Ivinhema
06 Jul
Ivinhema
1 : 2
ASA
27 Jun
Sergipe
0 : 1
ASA
Page 1 of 10

Miguelense

(Away)
17 May
Sporting FC
2 : 0
Miguelense
10 May
Miguelense
0 : 3
Sporting FC
02 May
Miguelense
0 : 1
Zumbi
25 Apr
Jacioba
0 : 1
Miguelense
22 Apr
Miguelense
4 : 0
Sao Domingos AL
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1CSA430111:39
2CRB42117:47
3Coruripe42116:77
4Cruzeiro Arapiraca40314:73
5Dimensao Capela40133:101
6Alianca00000:00
Promotion - Copa Alagoas (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1ASA541010:113
2Clube Sociedade Esportiva541010:213
3Zumbi52128:97
4Murici52037:56
5SC Penedense51133:54
6Miguelense50052:180
Promotion - Copa Alagoas (Play Offs)