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ASA vs Miguelense

Brazil Brazil

Copa Alagoas Estádio Municipal Coaracy da Mata Fonseca, Arapiraca
ASA Logo

ASA

6 - 0
FT
Miguelense Logo

Miguelense

Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Wandson
11' Event
Alex Bruno
18' Event
Wandson
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 6-0. This leg finished 6-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
ASA
20%
Draws
34%
Miguelense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: ASA

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to ASA lately — more wins on the board than Miguelense.
  • Model gives ASA a 46% chance of winning this.
  • ASA have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor ASA, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
ASA Clean Sheet 20%
Miguelense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ASA Miguelense
Matches Played 47 30
Wins 24 7
Draws 16 3
Losses 7 20
Goals Scored 1.55 0.8
Goals Conceded 0.64 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2026 Copa Alagoas
ASA vs Miguelense
6:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

ASA Compare

Top Goalscorer Wandson
2 Goals
Assists Leader Alex Bruno
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Miguelense Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ASA 67 / 100
Miguelense 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ASA Miguelense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ASA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 6.00 goals per match.

ASA scored in 72% of their last 47 games.

Miguelense let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

ASA went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

ASA VS Miguelense
1 Goals Scored 0
0.5 Goals Conceded 2.5
50% Over 1.5 100%
13% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

ASA

(Home)
13 Sept
Uberlandia
1 : 1
ASA
06 Sept
ASA
0 : 2
Uberlandia
30 Aug
Gama
0 : 0
ASA
23 Aug
ASA
2 : 0
Gama
16 Aug
ASA
2 : 1
Goiatuba EC
Page 1 of 10

Miguelense

(Away)
17 May
Sporting FC
2 : 0
Miguelense
10 May
Miguelense
0 : 3
Sporting FC
02 May
Miguelense
0 : 1
Zumbi
25 Apr
Jacioba
0 : 1
Miguelense
22 Apr
Miguelense
4 : 0
Sao Domingos AL
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CSA 4 3 0 1 11:3 9
2 CRB 4 2 1 1 7:4 7
3 Coruripe 4 2 1 1 6:7 7
4 Cruzeiro Arapiraca 4 0 3 1 4:7 3
5 Dimensao Capela 4 0 1 3 3:10 1
6 Alianca 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Copa Alagoas (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ASA 5 4 1 0 10:1 13
2 Clube Sociedade Esportiva 5 4 1 0 10:2 13
3 Zumbi 5 2 1 2 8:9 7
4 Murici 5 2 0 3 7:5 6
5 SC Penedense 5 1 1 3 3:5 4
6 Miguelense 5 0 0 5 2:18 0
Promotion - Copa Alagoas (Play Offs)