Sport Picks

Stadium Background

ASA vs Murici

Brazil Brazil

Alagoano Estádio Municipal Coaracy da Mata Fonseca, Arapiraca
Our Tip

Match Events

26'
Paulinho
46'
Sub
Jailson In: Wandson
Out: Jailson
49'
Sousa Felicio A.

AI Match Summary

The Alagoano game between ASA and Murici finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
ASA
30%
Draws
23%
Murici
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: ASA

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and ASA come out ahead of Murici on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans ASA's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
ASA Clean Sheet 68%
Murici Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ASA Murici
Matches Played 43 30
Wins 23 10
Draws 15 8
Losses 5 12
Goals Scored 1.35 1.27
Goals Conceded 0.56 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Alagoano
ASA vs Murici
3:0
Feb 14, 2026 Alagoano
Murici vs ASA
0:0
Jan 28, 2026 Copa Alagoas
Murici vs ASA
0:1
Jan 10, 2026 Alagoano
ASA vs Murici
0:0
Mar 12, 2025 Copa Alagoas
ASA vs Murici
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ASA 51 / 100
Murici 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ASA Murici

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: ASA scored in 74% of their last 43 outings.

Recent resilience: ASA stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: Murici registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Murici conceded in 57% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

ASA VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

ASA

(Home)
13 Sept
Uberlandia
1 : 1
ASA
06 Sept
ASA
0 : 2
Uberlandia
30 Aug
Gama
0 : 0
ASA
23 Aug
ASA
2 : 0
Gama
16 Aug
ASA
2 : 1
Goiatuba EC
Page 1 of 9

Murici

(Away)
18 Mar
Clube Sociedade Esportiva
3 : 0
Murici
14 Mar
Zumbi
1 : 0
Murici
01 Mar
Murici
6 : 0
Miguelense
22 Feb
ASA
3 : 0
Murici
14 Feb
Murici
0 : 0
ASA
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ASA 7 5 2 0 13:3 17
2 CSA 7 5 2 0 10:1 17
3 CRB 7 4 1 2 8:8 13
4 Murici 7 3 2 2 8:5 11
5 Cruzeiro Arapiraca 7 2 0 5 6:12 6
6 Coruripe 7 1 2 4 5:11 5
7 SC Penedense 7 1 2 4 2:8 5
8 Clube Sociedade Esportiva 7 1 1 5 6:10 4
Promotion - Alagoano (Play Offs)