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ASA vs Murici

Brazil Brazil

Alagoano Estádio Municipal Coaracy da Mata Fonseca, Arapiraca
Our Tip

Match Events

26'
Paulinho
46'
Sub
Jailson In: Wandson
Out: Jailson
49'
Sousa Felicio A.

AI Match Summary

The Alagoano game between ASA and Murici finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
ASA
11%
Draws
9%
Murici
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: ASA

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and ASA come out ahead of Murici on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans ASA's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24%
ASA Clean Sheet 68%
Murici Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ASA Murici
Matches Played 45 31
Wins 23 11
Draws 15 8
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.13 0
Goals Conceded 0.88 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Alagoano
ASA vs Murici
3:0
Feb 14, 2026 Alagoano
Murici vs ASA
0:0
Jan 28, 2026 Copa Alagoas
Murici vs ASA
0:1
Jan 10, 2026 Alagoano
ASA vs Murici
0:0
Mar 12, 2025 Copa Alagoas
ASA vs Murici
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ASA 86 / 100
Murici 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ASA Murici

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ASA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ASA has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

ASA's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 45 recent games.

Difficult form: Murici registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Murici conceded in 55% of 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

ASA VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

ASA

(Home)
18 Jul
Cianorte
0 : 1
ASA
12 Jul
ASA
4 : 0
Ivinhema
06 Jul
Ivinhema
1 : 2
ASA
27 Jun
Sergipe
0 : 1
ASA
21 Jun
ASA
1 : 1
Sergipe
Page 1 of 9

Murici

(Away)
18 Mar
Clube Sociedade Esportiva
3 : 0
Murici
14 Mar
Zumbi
1 : 0
Murici
01 Mar
Murici
6 : 0
Miguelense
22 Feb
ASA
3 : 0
Murici
14 Feb
Murici
0 : 0
ASA
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1ASA752013:317
2CSA752010:117
3CRB74128:813
4Murici73228:511
5Cruzeiro Arapiraca72056:126
6Coruripe71245:115
7SC Penedense71242:85
8Clube Sociedade Esportiva71156:104
Promotion - Alagoano (Play Offs)