Sport Picks

Stadium Background

ASA vs Murici

Brazil Brazil

Copa Alagoas 2025 Estádio Municipal Coaracy da Mata Fonseca, Arapiraca
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Carlos Henrique
68' Event
Franca
72' Event
Wanderson

AI Match Summary

ASA in this Copa Alagoas 2025 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
ASA
11%
Draws
9%
Murici
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: ASA

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • ASA have won more games recently than Murici.
  • ASA are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • ASA have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor ASA, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
ASA Clean Sheet 20%
Murici Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ASA Murici
Matches Played 39 30
Wins 20 10
Draws 13 8
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 1.13 0
Goals Conceded 0.88 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Alagoano
ASA vs Murici
3:0
Feb 14, 2026 Alagoano
Murici vs ASA
0:0
Jan 28, 2026 Copa Alagoas
Murici vs ASA
0:1
Jan 10, 2026 Alagoano
ASA vs Murici
0:0
Mar 12, 2025 Copa Alagoas
ASA vs Murici
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

ASA Compare

Top Goalscorer Carlos Henrique
1 Goals
Assists Leader Franca
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Murici Compare

Top Goalscorer Wanderson
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ASA 76 / 100
Murici 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ASA Murici

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ASA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: ASA stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

ASA found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (39 games).

Murici lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Murici's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

ASA VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

ASA

(Home)
18 Jul
Cianorte
0 : 1
ASA
12 Jul
ASA
4 : 0
Ivinhema
06 Jul
Ivinhema
1 : 2
ASA
27 Jun
Sergipe
0 : 1
ASA
21 Jun
ASA
1 : 1
Sergipe
Page 1 of 8

Murici

(Away)
18 Mar
Clube Sociedade Esportiva
3 : 0
Murici
14 Mar
Zumbi
1 : 0
Murici
01 Mar
Murici
6 : 0
Miguelense
22 Feb
ASA
3 : 0
Murici
14 Feb
Murici
0 : 0
ASA
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1SC Penedense641119:313
2Coruripe64027:312
3CRB632113:211
4Zumbi632112:311
5Murici631212:710
6Dimensao Capela62046:136
Promotion - Copa Alagoas 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Clube Sociedade Esportiva660011:118
2CSA62315:59
3ASA62138:57
4Guarany Alagoano61236:115
5Igaci60060:180
6Centro Esportivo Olhodaguense60061:290
Promotion - Copa Alagoas 2025 (Play Offs)