Sport Picks

Stadium Background

ASA vs Murici

Brazil Brazil

Copa Alagoas 2025 Estádio Municipal Coaracy da Mata Fonseca, Arapiraca
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Carlos Henrique
68' Event
Franca
72' Event
Wanderson

AI Match Summary

ASA in this Copa Alagoas 2025 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
ASA
30%
Draws
23%
Murici
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: ASA

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • ASA have won more games recently than Murici.
  • ASA are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • ASA have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor ASA, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
ASA Clean Sheet 20%
Murici Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ASA Murici
Matches Played 43 30
Wins 23 10
Draws 15 8
Losses 5 12
Goals Scored 1.35 1.27
Goals Conceded 0.56 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Alagoano
ASA vs Murici
3:0
Feb 14, 2026 Alagoano
Murici vs ASA
0:0
Jan 28, 2026 Copa Alagoas
Murici vs ASA
0:1
Jan 10, 2026 Alagoano
ASA vs Murici
0:0
Mar 12, 2025 Copa Alagoas
ASA vs Murici
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

ASA Compare

Top Goalscorer Carlos Henrique
1 Goals
Assists Leader Franca
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Murici Compare

Top Goalscorer Wanderson
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ASA 42 / 100
Murici 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ASA Murici

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ASA's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 43 recent games.

Solid form: ASA remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Murici lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Murici's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

ASA VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

ASA

(Home)
13 Sept
Uberlandia
1 : 1
ASA
06 Sept
ASA
0 : 2
Uberlandia
30 Aug
Gama
0 : 0
ASA
23 Aug
ASA
2 : 0
Gama
16 Aug
ASA
2 : 1
Goiatuba EC
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Murici

(Away)
18 Mar
Clube Sociedade Esportiva
3 : 0
Murici
14 Mar
Zumbi
1 : 0
Murici
01 Mar
Murici
6 : 0
Miguelense
22 Feb
ASA
3 : 0
Murici
14 Feb
Murici
0 : 0
ASA
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SC Penedense 6 4 1 1 19:3 13
2 Coruripe 6 4 0 2 7:3 12
3 CRB 6 3 2 1 13:2 11
4 Zumbi 6 3 2 1 12:3 11
5 Murici 6 3 1 2 12:7 10
6 Dimensao Capela 6 2 0 4 6:13 6
Promotion - Copa Alagoas 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Clube Sociedade Esportiva 6 6 0 0 11:1 18
2 CSA 6 2 3 1 5:5 9
3 ASA 6 2 1 3 8:5 7
4 Guarany Alagoano 6 1 2 3 6:11 5
5 Igaci 6 0 0 6 0:18 0
6 Centro Esportivo Olhodaguense 6 0 0 6 1:29 0
Promotion - Copa Alagoas 2025 (Play Offs)