Sport Picks

Stadium Background

ASA vs Piaui

Brazil Brazil

Copa do Nordeste Estádio Municipal Coaracy da Mata Fonseca, Arapiraca
1 - 0
FT
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Higor Leite
45'
Dudu
46'
Sub
Guilherme Belea In: Islan
Out: Guilherme Belea

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. The second leg ended 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
ASA
15%
Draws
35%
Piaui
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: ASA

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • ASA haven't matched Piaui's recent run of results.
  • ASA are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Piaui arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor ASA, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 53%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
ASA Clean Sheet 68%
Piaui Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ASA Piaui
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 14 16
Draws 11 5
Losses 4 12
Goals Scored 1.55 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.66 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.98 0.68
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 24, 2026 Copa do Nordeste
ASA vs Piaui
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

ASA Compare

Top Goalscorer Higor Leite
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.49

Piaui Compare

Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ASA 95 / 100
Piaui 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ASA Piaui

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ASA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: ASA stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

ASA scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Piaui's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 33 matches.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

ASA VS Piaui
1.25 Goals Scored 0.86
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.71
63% Over 1.5 43%
25% Over 2.5 14%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

ASA

(Home)
08 Aug
Goiatuba EC
0 : 0
ASA
26 Jul
ASA
5 : 1
Cianorte
18 Jul
Cianorte
0 : 1
ASA
12 Jul
ASA
4 : 0
Ivinhema
06 Jul
Ivinhema
1 : 2
ASA
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Piaui

(Away)
27 Jun
Piaui
1 : 0
Maguary
21 Jun
Maguary
2 : 0
Piaui
13 Jun
Piaui
2 : 1
Tirol
01 Jun
Atletico Cearense
0 : 1
Piaui
23 May
Piaui
0 : 1
Fluminense-PI
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