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ASA vs Santa Rita - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Alagoano 2018
Our Tip

Match Events

80' Event
Coutinho

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Alagoano 2018 game between ASA and Santa Rita finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward ASA.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
ASA
20%
Draws
52%
Santa Rita
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Santa Rita

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Santa Rita haven't matched ASA's recent run of results.
  • Santa Rita are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
ASA Clean Sheet 17%
Santa Rita Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ASA Santa Rita
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 15 9
Draws 12 5
Losses 5 15
Goals Scored 1.41 1.31
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2018 Alagoano
ASA vs Santa Rita
1:0
Mar 30, 2017 Alagoano
Santa Rita vs ASA
2:2
Mar 20, 2016 Alagoano
ASA vs Santa Rita
1:1
Mar 13, 2016 Alagoano
Santa Rita vs ASA
2:1
Feb 21, 2016 Alagoano
ASA vs Santa Rita
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

ASA Compare

Top Goalscorer Coutinho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Santa Rita Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ASA 10 / 100
Santa Rita 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ASA Santa Rita

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santa Rita Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ASA scored in 78% of their last 32 games.

Santa Rita let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: ASA stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

ASA VS Santa Rita
2.13 Goals Scored 2.38
0.38 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

ASA

(Home)
13 Sept
Uberlandia
1 : 1
ASA
06 Sept
ASA
0 : 2
Uberlandia
30 Aug
Gama
0 : 0
ASA
23 Aug
ASA
2 : 0
Gama
16 Aug
ASA
2 : 1
Goiatuba EC
Page 1 of 7

Santa Rita

(Away)
07 Oct
Femar
0 : 3
Santa Rita
03 Oct
Picuiense
0 : 6
Santa Rita
30 Sept
Santa Rita
4 : 0
Sao Paulo Crystal
27 Sept
Santa Rita
3 : 0
Sport PB
24 Sept
Santa Rita
2 : 0
Serrano PB
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CRB 8 6 1 1 16:4 19
2 CSA 8 5 2 1 16:4 17
3 ASA 8 4 0 4 11:9 12
4 Coruripe 8 4 0 4 9:8 12
5 Centro Esportivo Olhodaguense 8 4 0 4 10:11 12
6 Dimensao Capela 8 3 1 4 8:14 10
7 Murici 8 2 3 3 8:14 9
8 Clube Sociedade Esportiva 8 1 3 4 5:10 6
9 Santa Rita 8 1 2 5 6:15 5
Promotion - Campeonato Alagoano 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campeonato Alagoano 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campeonato Alagoano 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campeonato Alagoano 2018 (Play Offs)