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Asante Kotoko vs Medeama - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ghana Ghana

Premier League Baba Yara Stadium, Kumasi
Sun, Nov 1, 2026
VS
03:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Asante Kotoko host Medeama in the Premier League. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Asante Kotoko at 1.14 goals for, 1.03 against; Medeama at 1.69 for, 0.97 against. Past meetings favor Medeama slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 12, 2026, ending 4:0. xG projections (1.06 - 1.31) back Medeama to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Asante Kotoko
15%
Draws
54%
Medeama
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Medeama

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Medeama lately — more wins on the board than Asante Kotoko.
  • Medeama are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Asante Kotoko Clean Sheet 18%
Medeama Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Asante Kotoko Medeama
Matches Played 29 35
Wins 9 20
Draws 8 6
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.14 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.03 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Premier League
Medeama vs Asante Kotoko
4:0
Nov 30, 2025 Premier League
Asante Kotoko vs Medeama
2:2
Jun 1, 2025 Premier League
Asante Kotoko vs Medeama
3:2
Jan 5, 2025 Premier League
Medeama vs Asante Kotoko
1:1
Aug 16, 2024 Club Friendly
Medeama vs Asante Kotoko
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Asante Kotoko 28 / 100
Medeama 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Asante Kotoko Medeama

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Medeama Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Asante Kotoko stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Asante Kotoko scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Medeama's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 35 matches.

Scoring Trends

Asante Kotoko VS Medeama
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Asante Kotoko

(Home)
25 Oct
Ashanti
1 : 1
Asante Kotoko
18 Oct
Asante Kotoko
2 : 1
Young Apostles
10 Oct
Swedru All Blacks
1 : 0
Asante Kotoko
01 Oct
Asante Kotoko
1 : 0
Karela
27 Sept
Asante Kotoko
0 : 2
Aduana Stars
Page 1 of 6

Medeama

(Away)
25 Oct
Medeama
1 : 0
Aduana Stars
18 Oct
Samartex
2 : 1
Medeama
11 Oct
Medeama
3 : 1
Heart of Lions
04 Oct
Debibi United
0 : 1
Medeama
30 Sept
Medeama
1 : 0
Port City
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Medeama 8 5 2 1 14:7 17
2 Hearts of Oak 8 5 2 1 9:2 17
3 Samartex 8 4 3 1 9:5 15
4 Port City 8 4 2 2 11:7 14
5 Swedru All Blacks 8 4 2 2 8:5 14
6 Bechem United 8 4 1 3 11:9 13
7 Aduana Stars 8 4 1 3 7:5 13
8 Holy Stars 8 4 0 4 5:8 12
9 Asante Kotoko 8 3 3 2 9:9 12
10 Berekum Chelsea 8 3 2 3 10:9 11
11 Ashanti 8 3 2 3 10:9 11
12 Bibiani Gold Stars 8 3 1 4 8:9 10
13 Karela 8 3 0 5 8:11 9
14 Vision 8 2 3 3 11:11 9
15 Heart of Lions 8 2 2 4 8:12 8
16 Debibi United 8 2 1 5 7:12 7
17 Young Apostles 8 2 0 6 5:13 6
18 Dreams FC 8 0 3 5 7:14 3
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)