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Asaria vs Al Ittihad Misurata

Libya Libya

Premier League 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Al Hasi M.
(Penalty)
59' Event
Ghanodi M.
(Penalty)
71' Event
Kouyate M.
Assist: Zraibi H.

AI Match Summary

Asaria in this Premier League 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Asaria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Asaria
30%
Draws
34%
Al Ittihad Misurata
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Asaria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Ittihad Misurata have won more games recently than Asaria.
  • Model gives Asaria a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Asaria Clean Sheet 20%
Al Ittihad Misurata Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Asaria Al Ittihad Misurata
Matches Played 30 42
Wins 4 14
Draws 11 16
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 0 1.25
Goals Conceded 0 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2025 Premier League
Asaria vs Al Ittihad Misurata
2:1
Jan 27, 2025 Premier League
Al Ittihad Misurata vs Asaria
2:0
May 21, 2024 Premier League
Al Ittihad Misurata vs Asaria
1:1
Dec 29, 2023 Premier League
Asaria vs Al Ittihad Misurata
0:1
Jun 9, 2023 Premier League
Al Ittihad Misurata vs Asaria
6:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Asaria Compare

Top Goalscorer Kouyate M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Al Ittihad Misurata Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Asaria 36 / 100
Al Ittihad Misurata 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Asaria Al Ittihad Misurata

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Asaria scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Al Ittihad Misurata has conceded goals in 64% of their last 42 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Asaria has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Al Ittihad Misurata
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Asaria

(Home)
11 Apr
Asaria
2 : 1
Al Ittihad Misurata
15 Mar
Al Malaab El Libby
0 : 0
Asaria
08 Mar
Asaria
1 : 2
Abi Al Ashar
27 Feb
Al-Khmes
2 : 0
Asaria
22 Feb
Asaria
2 : 2
Al Watan
Page 1 of 6

Al Ittihad Misurata

(Away)
24 May
Al Madina
1 : 1
Al Ittihad Misurata
20 May
Al Ittihad Misurata
1 : 1
Al-Ittihad
14 May
Al Ittihad Misurata
0 : 2
Olympic Azzaweya
10 May
Al Ahly Tripoli
1 : 0
Al Ittihad Misurata
06 May
Asswehly
1 : 0
Al Ittihad Misurata
Page 1 of 9

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Nasr1695220:932
2Al Akhdar1694325:1131
3Al Tahaddi1667320:1425
4Khaleej Sirte1655617:1919
5Al-Suqoor1654716:2019
6Al-Anwar1654718:2619
7Al Borouq1639414:1518
8Al Ansar16421015:2614
9Wefaq Ajdabiya164489:1413
Promotion - Premier League 2024/2025 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Premier League 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Premier League 2024/2025 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Ahly Benghazi14111231:634
2Al Hilal Benghazi14111230:1234
3Al Sadaqa1473416:1324
4Al Taawun1464419:1422
5Al-Andalus1453617:1818
6Al Murooj SC1433814:2512
7Al Branes14221011:288
8Al Mahdia1413108:306
Promotion - Premier League 2024/2025 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Premier League 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Premier League 2024/2025 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Asswehly16124036:1240
2Olympic Azzaweya16114128:1337
3Al-Ittihad1684424:1028
4Al-Majd1663725:2921
5Shabab Al-Ghar1648418:1820
6Abu Salim1662820:2420
7Al Bashaer1645719:2117
8Al Tirsana1636722:2215
9Al Nahda1600165:48-3
Promotion - Premier League 2024/2025 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Premier League 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Premier League 2024/2025 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Ahly Tripoli16133038:442
2Al Madina16104227:1434
3Al Ittihad Misurata1665514:1423
4Al Watan1655619:2219
5Al Malaab El Libby1639413:1518
6Al-Khmes16511011:2016
7Abi Al Ashar1636710:1815
8Al Dahra1636711:2215
9Asaria16331013:2712
Promotion - Premier League 2024/2025 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Premier League 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Premier League 2024/2025 (Relegation)