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Asaria vs Al Khmes - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Libya Libya

Premier League 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Hreibesh A.
Assist: Sabanov R.
69' Event
Idris A.
71'
Al Mahmoudi M.

AI Match Summary

Al Khmes in this Premier League 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Khmes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Asaria
35%
Draws
32%
Al Khmes
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Asaria haven't matched Al Khmes's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Asaria's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Asaria Clean Sheet 20%
Al Khmes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Asaria Al Khmes
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 4 8
Draws 11 6
Losses 15 17
Goals Scored 0.83 0.94
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.65
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 27, 2025 Premier League
Al Khmes vs Asaria
2:0
Jan 6, 2025 Premier League
Asaria vs Al Khmes
0:2
Apr 18, 2024 Premier League
Asaria vs Al Khmes
1:1
Dec 7, 2023 Premier League
Al Khmes vs Asaria
2:2
Mar 11, 2023 Premier League
Al Khmes vs Asaria
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Asaria Compare

Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Al Khmes Compare

Top Goalscorer Hreibesh A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Idris A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Asaria 42 / 100
Al Khmes 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Asaria Al Khmes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Khmes's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 31 matches.

Attacking prowess: Asaria scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Asaria has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Al Khmes
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Asaria

(Home)
11 Apr
Asaria
2 : 1
Al Ittihad Misurata
15 Mar
Al Malaab El Libby
0 : 0
Asaria
08 Mar
Asaria
1 : 2
Abi Al Ashar
27 Feb
Al Khmes
2 : 0
Asaria
22 Feb
Asaria
2 : 2
Al Watan
Page 1 of 6

Al Khmes

(Away)
23 Apr
Abu Salim
0 : 0
Al Khmes
18 Apr
Al Khmes
1 : 3
Al Ahly Tripoli
13 Apr
Al Watan
0 : 1
Al Khmes
08 Apr
Al Khmes
2 : 2
Assabah
16 Mar
Al Malaab El Libby
2 : 0
Al Khmes
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Nasr 16 9 5 2 20:9 32
2 Al Akhdar 16 9 4 3 25:11 31
3 Al Tahaddi 16 6 7 3 20:14 25
4 Khaleej Sirte 16 5 5 6 17:19 19
5 Al Suqoor 16 5 4 7 16:20 19
6 Al Anwar 16 5 4 7 18:26 19
7 Al Borouq 16 3 9 4 14:15 18
8 Al Ansar 16 4 2 10 15:26 14
9 Wefaq Ajdabiya 16 4 4 8 9:14 13
Promotion - Premier League 2024/2025 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Premier League 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Premier League 2024/2025 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ahly Benghazi 14 11 1 2 31:6 34
2 Al Hilal Benghazi 14 11 1 2 30:12 34
3 Al Sadaqa 14 7 3 4 16:13 24
4 Al Taawun 14 6 4 4 19:14 22
5 Al Andalus 14 5 3 6 17:18 18
6 Al Murooj SC 14 3 3 8 14:25 12
7 Al Branes 14 2 2 10 11:28 8
8 Al Mahdia 14 1 3 10 8:30 6
Promotion - Premier League 2024/2025 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Premier League 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Premier League 2024/2025 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Asswehly 16 12 4 0 36:12 40
2 Olympic Azzaweya 16 11 4 1 28:13 37
3 Al Ittihad 16 8 4 4 24:10 28
4 Al Majd 16 6 3 7 25:29 21
5 Shabab Al Ghar 16 4 8 4 18:18 20
6 Abu Salim 16 6 2 8 20:24 20
7 Al Bashaer 16 4 5 7 19:21 17
8 Al Tirsana 16 3 6 7 22:22 15
9 Al Nahda 16 0 0 16 5:48 -3
Promotion - Premier League 2024/2025 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Premier League 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Premier League 2024/2025 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ahly Tripoli 16 13 3 0 38:4 42
2 Al Madina 16 10 4 2 27:14 34
3 Al Ittihad Misurata 16 6 5 5 14:14 23
4 Al Watan 16 5 5 6 19:22 19
5 Al Malaab El Libby 16 3 9 4 13:15 18
6 Al Khmes 16 5 1 10 11:20 16
7 Abi Al Ashar 16 3 6 7 10:18 15
8 Al Dahra 16 3 6 7 11:22 15
9 Asaria 16 3 3 10 13:27 12
Promotion - Premier League 2024/2025 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Premier League 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Premier League 2024/2025 (Relegation)