Sport Picks

Libya

Premier League 2024/2025

Asaria

0 - 2

Al-Khmes

Our Tip

Match Events

35'

Hreibesh A.

Assist: Sabanov R.

69'

Idris A.

71'

Al Mahmoudi M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Al-Khmes in this Premier League 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al-Khmes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Asaria

33%

Draws

27%

Al-Khmes

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Asaria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Asaria haven't matched Al-Khmes's recent run of results.
Win probability leans Asaria's way, sitting at 40%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%

Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%

Asaria Clean Sheet 20%

Al-Khmes Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Asaria	Al-Khmes
Matches Played	30	32
Wins	4	8
Draws	11	6
Losses	15	18
Goals Scored	2	1.13
Goals Conceded	1	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	2.00	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 27, 2025 Premier League

Al-Khmes vs Asaria

2:0

Jan 6, 2025 Premier League

Asaria vs Al-Khmes

0:2

Apr 18, 2024 Premier League

Asaria vs Al-Khmes

1:1

Dec 7, 2023 Premier League

Al-Khmes vs Asaria

2:2

Mar 11, 2023 Premier League

Al-Khmes vs Asaria

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Asaria Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54

Avg xA / game 1

Al-Khmes Compare

Top Goalscorer Hreibesh A.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Idris A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Asaria 40 / 100

Al-Khmes 27 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Asaria Al-Khmes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ASA Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Asaria's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Al-Khmes has conceded goals in 66% of their last 32 outings.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Asaria has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Asaria VS Al-Khmes

2 Goals Scored 1.13

1 Goals Conceded 1.5

100% Over 1.5 75%

100% Over 2.5 38%

0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Asaria

(Home)

11 Apr

Asaria

2 : 1

Al Ittihad Misurata

15 Mar

Al Malaab El Libby

0 : 0

Asaria

08 Mar

Asaria

1 : 2

Abi Al Ashar

27 Feb

Al-Khmes

2 : 0

Asaria

22 Feb

Asaria

2 : 2

Al Watan

Page 1 of 6

Al-Khmes

(Away)

23 Apr

Abu Salim

0 : 0

Al-Khmes

18 Apr

Al-Khmes

1 : 3

Al Ahly Tripoli

13 Apr

Al Watan

0 : 1

Al-Khmes

08 Apr

Al-Khmes

2 : 2

Assabah

16 Mar

Al Malaab El Libby

2 : 0

Al-Khmes

Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Al Nasr	16	9	5	2	20:9	32
2	Al Akhdar	16	9	4	3	25:11	31
3	Al Tahaddi	16	6	7	3	20:14	25
4	Khaleej Sirte	16	5	5	6	17:19	19
5	Al-Suqoor	16	5	4	7	16:20	19
6	Al-Anwar	16	5	4	7	18:26	19
7	Al Borouq	16	3	9	4	14:15	18
8	Al Ansar	16	4	2	10	15:26	14
9	Wefaq Ajdabiya	16	4	4	8	9:14	13

Promotion - Premier League 2024/2025 (Winners stage)

Relegation - Premier League 2024/2025 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Al Ahly Benghazi	14	11	1	2	31:6	34
2	Al Hilal Benghazi	14	11	1	2	30:12	34
3	Al Sadaqa	14	7	3	4	16:13	24
4	Al Taawun	14	6	4	4	19:14	22
5	Al-Andalus	14	5	3	6	17:18	18
6	Al Murooj SC	14	3	3	8	14:25	12
7	Al Branes	14	2	2	10	11:28	8
8	Al Mahdia	14	1	3	10	8:30	6

Promotion - Premier League 2024/2025 (Winners stage)

Relegation - Premier League 2024/2025 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 3)

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Asswehly	16	12	4	0	36:12	40
2	Olympic Azzaweya	16	11	4	1	28:13	37
3	Al-Ittihad	16	8	4	4	24:10	28
4	Al-Majd	16	6	3	7	25:29	21
5	Shabab Al-Ghar	16	4	8	4	18:18	20
6	Abu Salim	16	6	2	8	20:24	20
7	Al Bashaer	16	4	5	7	19:21	17
8	Al Tirsana	16	3	6	7	22:22	15
9	Al Nahda	16	0	0	16	5:48	-3

Promotion - Premier League 2024/2025 (Winners stage)

Relegation - Premier League 2024/2025 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 4)

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Al Ahly Tripoli	16	13	3	0	38:4	42
2	Al Madina	16	10	4	2	27:14	34
3	Al Ittihad Misurata	16	6	5	5	14:14	23
4	Al Watan	16	5	5	6	19:22	19
5	Al Malaab El Libby	16	3	9	4	13:15	18
6	Al-Khmes	16	5	1	10	11:20	16
7	Abi Al Ashar	16	3	6	7	10:18	15
8	Al Dahra	16	3	6	7	11:22	15
9	Asaria	16	3	3	10	13:27	12

Promotion - Premier League 2024/2025 (Winners stage)

Relegation - Premier League 2024/2025 (Relegation)