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ASC 09 Dortmund vs Dortmund II

World World

Club Friendly
Wed, Jul 8, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

ASC 09 Dortmund play Dortmund II in the Club Friendly. It looks like a close match. Recently, ASC 09 Dortmund averaged 2.43 goals scored and 1.32 conceded. Dortmund II averaged 1.7 goals scored and 1.15 conceded. In past meetings, ASC 09 Dortmund won 0, Dortmund II won 3, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jul 8, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for ASC 09 Dortmund and 1.19 for Dortmund II. This points to a Dortmund II double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
ASC 09 Dortmund
29%
Draws
36%
Dortmund II
Draw rate projection: 29% Favored: Dortmund II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • ASC 09 Dortmund picked up more points recently compared to Dortmund II.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.38 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 53%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62%
ASC 09 Dortmund Clean Sheet 20%
Dortmund II Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 75%
Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ASC 09 Dortmund Dortmund II
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 17 15
Draws 6 7
Losses 5 5
Goals Scored 2.43 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.15
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 8, 2026 Club Friendly
ASC 09 Dortmund vs Dortmund II
0:0
Jul 9, 2025 Club Friendly
ASC 09 Dortmund vs Dortmund II
0:1
Jul 3, 2024 Club Friendly
ASC 09 Dortmund vs Dortmund II
0:4
Jul 8, 2023 Club Friendly
ASC 09 Dortmund vs Dortmund II
1:2
Jun 28, 2019 Club Friendly
ASC 09 Dortmund vs Dortmund II
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ASC 09 Dortmund 36 / 100
Dortmund II 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ASC 09 Dortmund Dortmund II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Dortmund II or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +29.5%
3.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.9%
2.13
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

ASC 09 Dortmund attacking → ← attacking Dortmund II

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ASC 09 Dortmund scored in 93% of their last 28 games.

Dortmund II let in goals in 70% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

ASC 09 Dortmund went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Dortmund II lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

57 Points in last 5 52
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38