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ASC 09 Dortmund vs Dortmund II

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Club Friendly
Wed, Jul 8, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

ASC 09 Dortmund host Dortmund II in the Club Friendly. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Dortmund II have shipped 1.1 goals a game lately, while ASC 09 Dortmund have conceded 1.57 and scored 2.57. Head-to-head, ASC 09 Dortmund have won 0 to Dortmund II's 3, with 2 draws. They last met on Jul 8, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.50 vs 2.06, favoring Dortmund II. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
ASC 09 Dortmund
30%
Draws
37%
Dortmund II
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Dortmund II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: ASC 09 Dortmund at 2.57 per game, Dortmund II at 1.72.
  • Win probability leans ASC 09 Dortmund's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
ASC 09 Dortmund Clean Sheet 10%
Dortmund II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ASC 09 Dortmund Dortmund II
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 17 17
Draws 6 7
Losses 5 5
Goals Scored 2.57 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 8, 2026 Club Friendly
ASC 09 Dortmund vs Dortmund II
0:0
Jul 9, 2025 Club Friendly
ASC 09 Dortmund vs Dortmund II
0:1
Jul 3, 2024 Club Friendly
ASC 09 Dortmund vs Dortmund II
0:4
Jul 8, 2023 Club Friendly
ASC 09 Dortmund vs Dortmund II
1:2
Jun 28, 2019 Club Friendly
ASC 09 Dortmund vs Dortmund II
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ASC 09 Dortmund 38 / 100
Dortmund II 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ASC 09 Dortmund Dortmund II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ASC 09 Dortmund Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ASC 09 Dortmund scored in 100% of their last 28 games.

Dortmund II's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: ASC 09 Dortmund stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

ASC 09 Dortmund VS Dortmund II
2.13 Goals Scored 2.13
2 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

ASC 09 Dortmund

(Home)
27 Sept
ASC 09 Dortmund
3 : 3
TuS Hordel
19 Sept
ASC 09 Dortmund
4 : 1
Lippstadt
06 Sept
Eintracht Rheine
0 : 2
ASC 09 Dortmund
30 Aug
ASC 09 Dortmund
1 : 3
Sprockhovel
23 Aug
SpVgg Herne Horsthausen
1 : 4
ASC 09 Dortmund
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Dortmund II

(Away)
26 Sept
Dortmund II
4 : 2
Bocholt
21 Sept
Paderborn II
1 : 1
Dortmund II
16 Sept
Dortmund II
2 : 1
Westfalia Rhynern
13 Sept
Dortmund II
3 : 2
Rodinghausen
05 Sept
B. Monchengladbach II
0 : 0
Dortmund II
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