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Stadium Background

ASC 09 Dortmund vs Gievenbeck - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga Westfalen
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

ASC 09 Dortmund host Gievenbeck in the Oberliga Westfalen. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: ASC 09 Dortmund at 2.44 goals for, 1.44 against; Gievenbeck at 1.83 for, 1.55 against. Head-to-head, ASC 09 Dortmund have won 4 to Gievenbeck's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Feb 21, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.81 - 2.13) back ASC 09 Dortmund to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
ASC 09 Dortmund
15%
Draws
46%
Gievenbeck
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gievenbeck

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • ASC 09 Dortmund have won more games recently than Gievenbeck.
  • ASC 09 Dortmund are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Oberliga Westfalen form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors ASC 09 Dortmund here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
ASC 09 Dortmund Clean Sheet 10%
Gievenbeck Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ASC 09 Dortmund Gievenbeck
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 16 12
Draws 6 7
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 2.44 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.44 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Oberliga Westfalen
Gievenbeck vs ASC 09 Dortmund
1:1
Aug 31, 2025 Oberliga Westfalen
ASC 09 Dortmund vs Gievenbeck
1:0
May 11, 2025 Oberliga Westfalen
Gievenbeck vs ASC 09 Dortmund
2:3
Nov 23, 2024 Oberliga Westfalen
ASC 09 Dortmund vs Gievenbeck
3:2
May 12, 2024 Oberliga Westfalen
ASC 09 Dortmund vs Gievenbeck
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ASC 09 Dortmund 83 / 100
Gievenbeck 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ASC 09 Dortmund Gievenbeck

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ASC 09 Dortmund Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: ASC 09 Dortmund scored in 100% of their last 27 outings.

Gievenbeck's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: ASC 09 Dortmund remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

ASC 09 Dortmund VS Gievenbeck
2.75 Goals Scored 2.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 50%
88% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

ASC 09 Dortmund

(Home)
04 Oct
TUS Ennepetal
1 : 5
ASC 09 Dortmund
27 Sept
ASC 09 Dortmund
3 : 3
TuS Hordel
19 Sept
ASC 09 Dortmund
4 : 1
Lippstadt
06 Sept
Eintracht Rheine
0 : 2
ASC 09 Dortmund
30 Aug
ASC 09 Dortmund
1 : 3
Sprockhovel
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Gievenbeck

(Away)
04 Oct
Gievenbeck
3 : 0
Hiltrup
30 Sept
Verl II
6 : 0
Gievenbeck
19 Sept
Gievenbeck
2 : 0
Arminia Bielefeld II
13 Sept
Clarholz
2 : 4
Gievenbeck
04 Sept
Gievenbeck
2 : 1
Preussen Munster 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gievenbeck 9 6 1 2 19:12 19
2 Vreden 9 6 1 2 25:19 19
3 Eintracht Rheine 9 6 0 3 20:13 18
4 Erkenschwick 9 5 3 1 15:9 18
5 Maaslingen 9 5 1 3 18:14 16
6 Lippstadt 9 5 1 3 17:15 16
7 Sprockhovel 9 4 2 3 25:17 14
8 Verl II 9 4 2 3 19:16 14
9 ASC 09 Dortmund 8 4 1 3 22:17 13
10 Arminia Bielefeld II 9 3 3 3 14:12 12
11 Preussen Munster 2 9 3 3 3 14:12 12
12 Westfalia Kinderhaus 9 3 3 3 11:13 12
13 TuS Hordel 9 2 4 3 14:17 10
14 SpVgg Herne Horsthausen 9 3 0 6 17:23 9
15 Clarholz 9 2 2 5 21:22 8
16 Hiltrup 9 2 1 6 8:20 7
17 TUS Ennepetal 9 0 5 4 10:23 5
18 Schermbeck 2020 8 0 1 7 7:22 1
Promotion - Regionalliga West 2027/2028 (Main)