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ASC HLM vs Casa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Senegal Senegal

Ligue 1
ASC HLM Logo

ASC HLM

Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Casa Logo

Casa

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

ASC HLM host Casa in the Ligue 1. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. Recent numbers: ASC HLM at 0.59 goals for, 0.79 against; Casa at 0.84 for, 0.74 against. Past meetings favor Casa slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 1, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (0.56 - 0.88) back Casa to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
ASC HLM
35%
Draws
35%
Casa
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Casa carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
ASC HLM Clean Sheet 20%
Casa Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ASC HLM Casa
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 5 7
Draws 17 19
Losses 7 5
Goals Scored 0.59 0.84
Goals Conceded 0.79 0.74
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Ligue 1
Casa vs ASC HLM
0:0
Nov 9, 2025 Ligue 1
ASC HLM vs Casa
1:1
Mar 9, 2025 Ligue 1
Casa vs ASC HLM
2:0
Oct 27, 2024 Ligue 1
ASC HLM vs Casa
2:1
Aug 6, 2011 Ligue 1
ASC HLM vs Casa
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ASC HLM 32 / 100
Casa 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ASC HLM Casa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: ASC HLM stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: ASC HLM scored in 41% of their last 29 outings.

Casa let in goals in 52% of their last 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

ASC HLM VS Casa
0.63 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.5
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

ASC HLM

(Home)
04 Jun
ASC HLM
2 : 1
Pikine
22 May
Sonacos
0 : 0
ASC HLM
17 May
ASC HLM
0 : 1
Generation Foot
13 May
ASC HLM
0 : 0
Linguere
10 May
US Goree
1 : 1
ASC HLM
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Casa

(Away)
04 Jun
Casa
1 : 2
Dakar Sacre-Coeur
22 May
ASC Jaraaf
0 : 0
Casa
17 May
Casa
1 : 0
Pikine
13 May
Sonacos
0 : 3
Casa
10 May
Casa
1 : 2
Generation Foot
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Linguere 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 ASC Jaraaf 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Ouakam 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Casa 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Mbour 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 US Goree 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Diambars de Saly 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 ASC HLM 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Generation Foot 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Pikine 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Guediawaye 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Dakar Sacre-Coeur 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 Teungueth 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
14 AJEL 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
15 Wally Daan 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
16 Essamaye 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)