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ASC Jaraaf vs AJEL - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Senegal Senegal

Ligue 1 Stade de Diaraf, Dakar
ASC Jaraaf Logo

ASC Jaraaf

Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
AJEL Logo

AJEL

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

ASC Jaraaf host AJEL in the Ligue 1. This shapes up as a tight, low-scoring affair. Recent numbers: ASC Jaraaf at 0.77 goals for, 0.52 against; AJEL at 0.9 for, 0.62 against. Head-to-head, ASC Jaraaf have won 1 to AJEL's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 8, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (0.88 - 0.38) back AJEL to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
ASC Jaraaf
35%
Draws
34%
AJEL
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to AJEL lately — more wins on the board than ASC Jaraaf.
  • 31% — that's where the model lands on ASC Jaraaf taking it.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60.2%
ASC Jaraaf Clean Sheet 20%
AJEL Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ASC Jaraaf AJEL
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 10 15
Draws 14 8
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 0.77 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.52 0.62
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Ligue 1
AJEL vs ASC Jaraaf
1:0
Nov 16, 2025 Ligue 1
ASC Jaraaf vs AJEL
0:2
Apr 12, 2025 Ligue 1
AJEL vs ASC Jaraaf
0:1
Nov 10, 2024 Ligue 1
ASC Jaraaf vs AJEL
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ASC Jaraaf 49 / 100
AJEL 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ASC Jaraaf AJEL

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ASC Jaraaf Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ASC Jaraaf has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: ASC Jaraaf scored in 48% of their last 31 outings.

AJEL let in goals in 41% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

ASC Jaraaf VS AJEL
0.75 Goals Scored 0.38
0.38 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

ASC Jaraaf

(Home)
04 Jun
AS Camberene
0 : 2
ASC Jaraaf
22 May
ASC Jaraaf
0 : 0
Casa
17 May
ASC Jaraaf
3 : 0
Dakar Sacre-Coeur
13 May
Pikine
0 : 0
ASC Jaraaf
10 May
ASC Jaraaf
0 : 0
Sonacos
Page 1 of 7

AJEL

(Away)
04 Jun
Generation Foot
0 : 1
AJEL
22 May
AJEL
2 : 1
Linguere
17 May
US Goree
2 : 1
AJEL
13 May
AJEL
1 : 0
Guediawaye
10 May
Teungueth
0 : 0
AJEL
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Linguere 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 ASC Jaraaf 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Ouakam 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Casa 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Mbour 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 US Goree 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Diambars de Saly 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 ASC HLM 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Generation Foot 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Pikine 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Guediawaye 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Dakar Sacre-Coeur 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 Teungueth 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
14 AJEL 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
15 Wally Daan 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
16 Essamaye 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
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