Sport Picks
Match Events
40'
40'
Muller N.
44'
44'
Ade D.
45'
45'
Kallo H.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Regionalliga Bayern 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
15%
46%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Burghausen
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Burghausen have won more games recently than Aschaffenburg.
- 36% — that's where the model lands on Aschaffenburg taking it.
- Regular Regionalliga Bayern 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Aschaffenburg Clean Sheet 10%
Burghausen Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Aschaffenburg | Burghausen |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 10 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 13 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.48 | 1.59 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.79 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.06 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 27, 2026 Regionalliga Bayern
Aschaffenburg vs Burghausen
2:2
Sep 12, 2025 Regionalliga Bayern
Burghausen vs Aschaffenburg
5:2
Nov 9, 2024 Regionalliga Bayern
Burghausen vs Aschaffenburg
0:0
Jul 26, 2024 Regionalliga Bayern
Aschaffenburg vs Burghausen
0:4
Nov 25, 2023 Regionalliga Bayern
Aschaffenburg vs Burghausen
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Aschaffenburg Compare
Top Goalscorer Kallo H.
1 Goals Assists Leader Baier B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03
Burghausen Compare
Top Goalscorer Muller N.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ade D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Aschaffenburg 34 / 100
Burghausen 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Aschaffenburg Burghausen
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.
Aschaffenburg found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).
Burghausen has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.
Aschaffenburg went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Aschaffenburg VS Burghausen
1.88 Goals Scored 2.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Aschaffenburg
(Home) 18 Sept
TSV Kornburg
1 : 2 Aschaffenburg
15 Sept
Aschaffenburg
1 : 2 Wurzburger FV
12 Sept
Aschaffenburg
1 : 3 ASV Neumarkt
09 Sept
Grossbardorf
3 : 1 Aschaffenburg
04 Sept
DJK Ammerthal
0 : 6 Aschaffenburg
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15 Sept
Aschaffenburg
1 : 2 Wurzburger FV
12 Sept
Aschaffenburg
1 : 3 ASV Neumarkt
28 Aug
Aschaffenburg
3 : 0 DJK Don Bosco Bamberg
18 Aug
Aschaffenburg
1 : 1 Bamberg
08 Aug
Aschaffenburg
2 : 0 Ingolstadt II
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Burghausen
(Away) 19 Sept
Burghausen
5 : 2 Augsburg II
15 Sept
Memmingen
0 : 0 Burghausen
11 Sept
Burghausen
1 : 2 Landsberg
04 Sept
Bayreuth
2 : 4 Burghausen
29 Aug
Burghausen
4 : 5 Vilzing
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15 Sept
Memmingen
0 : 0 Burghausen
04 Sept
Bayreuth
2 : 4 Burghausen
21 Aug
Nurnberg II
3 : 1 Burghausen
07 Aug
TSV Aubstadt
2 : 2 Burghausen
24 Jul
Ansbach
0 : 4 Burghausen
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nurnberg II | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 68:35 | 77 |
| 2 | Wurzburger Kickers | 34 | 22 | 9 | 3 | 74:25 | 75 |
| 3 | Unterhaching | 34 | 22 | 4 | 8 | 72:30 | 70 |
| 4 | Illertissen | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 72:46 | 64 |
| 5 | Vilzing | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 49:44 | 51 |
| 6 | TSV Aubstadt | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 49:45 | 49 |
| 7 | Vfb Eichstatt | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 48:37 | 48 |
| 8 | Burghausen | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 46:50 | 47 |
| 9 | Ansbach | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 54:65 | 46 |
| 10 | Buchbach | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 54:69 | 46 |
| 11 | Bayern II | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 61:52 | 45 |
| 12 | Memmingen | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 43:47 | 42 |
| 13 | Bayreuth | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 36:53 | 38 |
| 14 | Augsburg II | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 37:48 | 34 |
| 15 | TSV Schwaben Augsburg | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 39:60 | 34 |
| 16 | Furth II | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 47:60 | 28 |
| 17 | Aschaffenburg | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 31:71 | 26 |
| 18 | Hankofen-Hailing | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 31:74 | 23 |
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Regionalliga Bayern 2025/2026 (Relegation)
