Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Aschaffenburg in this Oberliga Bayern Nord 2017/2018 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aschaffenburg.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aschaffenburg
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Aschaffenburg have won more games recently than Erlenbach.
- 85% — that's where the model lands on Aschaffenburg taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Aschaffenburg here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Aschaffenburg Clean Sheet 15%
Erlenbach Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Aschaffenburg | Erlenbach |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 5 |
| Draws | 7 | 4 |
| Losses | 12 | 21 |
| Goals Scored | 1.69 | 1.23 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.69 | 2.9 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.10 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 17, 2018 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Erlenbach vs Aschaffenburg
1:6
Aug 15, 2017 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Aschaffenburg vs Erlenbach
4:1
Nov 26, 2016 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Aschaffenburg vs Erlenbach
3:1
Jul 27, 2016 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Erlenbach vs Aschaffenburg
0:0
Mar 14, 2015 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Erlenbach vs Aschaffenburg
1:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Aschaffenburg 84 / 100
Erlenbach 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Aschaffenburg Erlenbach
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Aschaffenburg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Erlenbach has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 3.80 goals.
Difficult form: Erlenbach registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.
Aschaffenburg's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Aschaffenburg VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Aschaffenburg
(Home) 04 Sept
DJK Ammerthal
0 : 6 Aschaffenburg
28 Aug
Aschaffenburg
3 : 0 DJK Don Bosco Bamberg
21 Aug
Cham
4 : 1 Aschaffenburg
18 Aug
Aschaffenburg
1 : 1 Bamberg
14 Aug
Neudrossenfeld
3 : 0 Aschaffenburg
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28 Aug
Aschaffenburg
3 : 0 DJK Don Bosco Bamberg
18 Aug
Aschaffenburg
1 : 1 Bamberg
08 Aug
Aschaffenburg
2 : 0 Ingolstadt II
04 Jul
Aschaffenburg
3 : 3 Worms
16 May
Aschaffenburg
0 : 5 Bayern II
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Erlenbach
(Away) 18 May
Grossbardorf
2 : 0 Erlenbach
12 May
Erlenbach
2 : 5 Bayern Hof
05 May
Wurzburger Kickers II
6 : 1 Erlenbach
28 Apr
Erlenbach
0 : 5 Gebenbach
25 Apr
Jahn Forchheim
5 : 3 Erlenbach
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18 May
Grossbardorf
2 : 0 Erlenbach
05 May
Wurzburger Kickers II
6 : 1 Erlenbach
25 Apr
Jahn Forchheim
5 : 3 Erlenbach
21 Apr
Weiden
4 : 1 Erlenbach
14 Apr
Amberg
1 : 4 Erlenbach
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aschaffenburg | 34 | 26 | 4 | 4 | 91:29 | 82 |
| 2 | TSV Aubstadt | 34 | 22 | 4 | 8 | 71:33 | 70 |
| 3 | Wurzburger FV | 34 | 19 | 10 | 5 | 71:36 | 67 |
| 4 | Eltersdorf | 34 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 65:44 | 64 |
| 5 | Gebenbach | 34 | 20 | 4 | 10 | 76:51 | 64 |
| 6 | Jahn Forchheim | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 78:67 | 54 |
| 7 | Ansbach | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 74:61 | 53 |
| 8 | Grossbardorf | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 51:47 | 51 |
| 9 | Erlangen | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 53:75 | 44 |
| 10 | Bayern Hof | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 61:59 | 43 |
| 11 | Wurzburger Kickers II | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 47:49 | 42 |
| 12 | DJK Ammerthal | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 65:67 | 41 |
| 13 | DJK Don Bosco Bamberg | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 44:50 | 40 |
| 14 | Weiden | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 51:77 | 40 |
| 15 | 1. FC Sand | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 39:57 | 30 |
| 16 | 1. FC Schweinfurt II | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 33:54 | 30 |
| 17 | Erlenbach | 34 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 43:94 | 23 |
| 18 | Amberg | 34 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 37:100 | 15 |
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Süd 2017/2018 (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Süd 2017/2018 (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Süd 2017/2018 (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Süd 2017/2018 (Relegation)
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2018/2019 (Main)
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2017/2018 (Relegation)
