Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ascoli U19 vs Bari U19

Italy Italy

Primavera 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Rama A.
75' Event
De Witt F.
87' Event
Carrieri V.

AI Match Summary

The Primavera 2 2025/2026 game between Ascoli U19 and Bari U19 finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ascoli U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Ascoli U19
15%
Draws
64%
Bari U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bari U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bari U19 come out ahead of Ascoli U19 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Bari U19's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Ascoli U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Bari U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ascoli U19 Bari U19
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 10
Draws 9 7
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.59 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.76 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Primavera 2
Bari U19 vs Ascoli U19
2:1
Mar 14, 2026 Primavera 2
Ascoli U19 vs Bari U19
2:1
Oct 25, 2025 Primavera 2
Bari U19 vs Ascoli U19
1:3
Feb 15, 2025 Primavera 2
Ascoli U19 vs Bari U19
3:0
Oct 5, 2024 Primavera 2
Bari U19 vs Ascoli U19
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ascoli U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Rama A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader De Witt F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Bari U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Carrieri V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ascoli U19 22 / 100
Bari U19 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ascoli U19 Bari U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bari U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ascoli U19 scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Bari U19 has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Ascoli U19 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ascoli U19 VS Bari U19
1.88 Goals Scored 1.88
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ascoli U19

(Home)
12 Sept
Bari U19
2 : 1
Ascoli U19
05 Sept
Ascoli U19
1 : 1
Spezia U19
22 Aug
Ascoli U19
4 : 1
Latina U19
09 May
Ascoli U19
1 : 2
Empoli U19
02 May
Perugia U19
3 : 2
Ascoli U19
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Bari U19

(Away)
12 Sept
Bari U19
2 : 1
Ascoli U19
05 Sept
Salernitana U19
0 : 4
Bari U19
29 Aug
Bari U19
1 : 0
Padova U19
09 May
Benevento U19
2 : 1
Bari U19
02 May
Bari U19
3 : 2
Salernitana U19
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Como U19 30 18 7 5 58:31 61
2 Lecco U19 30 18 6 6 65:50 60
3 Modena U19 30 16 7 7 55:38 55
4 AlbinoLeffe U19 30 14 5 11 58:59 47
5 Reggiana U19 30 13 7 10 58:44 46
6 Pro Vercelli U19 30 14 4 12 44:46 46
7 Entella U19 30 10 13 7 47:38 43
8 Sampdoria U19 30 12 5 13 57:48 41
9 Vicenza U19 30 10 8 12 45:53 38
10 Sudtirol U19 30 9 10 11 36:37 37
11 Udinese U19 30 9 9 12 53:50 36
12 Cittadella U19 30 9 9 12 42:49 36
13 Renate U19 30 7 12 11 34:44 33
14 Union Brescia U19 30 9 3 18 31:46 30
15 Venezia U19 30 6 8 16 32:63 26
16 Padova U19 30 6 7 17 34:53 25
Promotion - Primavera 1 (Main)
Promotion - Primavera 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Empoli U19 30 23 5 2 74:19 74
2 Perugia U19 30 16 7 7 47:27 55
3 Pescara U19 30 15 7 8 51:37 52
4 Avellino U19 30 13 12 5 54:36 51
5 Pisa U19 30 13 9 8 54:41 48
6 Spezia U19 30 15 3 12 55:43 48
7 Catanzaro U19 30 14 6 10 42:35 48
8 Benevento U19 30 13 5 12 42:50 44
9 Ternana U19 30 11 9 10 51:54 42
10 Monopoli U19 30 10 7 13 39:50 37
11 Bari U19 30 9 8 13 42:42 35
12 Ascoli U19 30 8 9 13 47:50 33
13 Palermo U19 30 5 12 13 35:43 27
14 Cosenza U19 30 6 9 15 32:62 27
15 Salernitana U19 30 6 6 18 28:62 24
16 Crotone U19 30 1 10 19 20:62 13
Promotion - Primavera 1 (Main)
Promotion - Primavera 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)