Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ascoli U19 vs Bari U19

Italy Italy

Primavera 2
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Rama A.
75' Event
De Witt F.
87' Event
Carrieri V.

AI Match Summary

The Primavera 2 game between Ascoli U19 and Bari U19 finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ascoli U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Ascoli U19
17%
Draws
70%
Bari U19
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Bari U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bari U19 come out ahead of Ascoli U19 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Bari U19's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Ascoli U19 Clean Sheet 13%
Bari U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ascoli U19 Bari U19
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 8 10
Draws 9 8
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 1.63 1.25
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Primavera 2
Ascoli U19 vs Bari U19
2:1
Oct 25, 2025 Primavera 2
Bari U19 vs Ascoli U19
1:3
Feb 15, 2025 Primavera 2
Ascoli U19 vs Bari U19
3:0
Oct 5, 2024 Primavera 2
Bari U19 vs Ascoli U19
1:1
Apr 28, 2024 Primavera 2
Ascoli U19 vs Bari U19
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ascoli U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Rama A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader De Witt F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Bari U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Carrieri V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ascoli U19 14 / 100
Bari U19 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ascoli U19 Bari U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bari U19 has conceded goals in 84% of their last 32 outings.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Ascoli U19 scored in 75% of their last 32 outings.

Bari U19's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ascoli U19 VS Bari U19
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ascoli U19

(Home)
09 May
Ascoli U19
1 : 2
Empoli U19
02 May
Perugia U19
3 : 2
Ascoli U19
24 Apr
Ascoli U19
2 : 3
Pescara U19
18 Apr
Catanzaro U19
3 : 2
Ascoli U19
11 Apr
Ascoli U19
1 : 2
Avellino U19
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Bari U19

(Away)
09 May
Benevento U19
2 : 1
Bari U19
02 May
Bari U19
3 : 2
Salernitana U19
25 Apr
Crotone U19
0 : 4
Bari U19
18 Apr
Avellino U19
1 : 1
Bari U19
11 Apr
Bari U19
2 : 2
Cosenza U19
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Como U1930187558:3161
2Lecco U1930186665:5060
3Modena U1930167755:3855
4AlbinoLeffe U19301451158:5947
5Reggiana U19301371058:4446
6Pro Vercelli U19301441244:4646
7Entella U19301013747:3843
8Sampdoria U19301251357:4841
9Vicenza U19301081245:5338
10Sudtirol U19309101136:3737
11Udinese U1930991253:5036
12Cittadella U1930991242:4936
13Renate U19307121134:4433
14Union Brescia U1930931831:4630
15Venezia U1930681632:6326
16Padova U1930671734:5325
Promotion - Primavera 1 (Main)
Promotion - Primavera 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 2 (Play Out)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Empoli U1930235274:1974
2Perugia U1930167747:2755
3Pescara U1930157851:3752
4Avellino U19301312554:3651
5Pisa U1930139854:4148
6Spezia U19301531255:4348
7Catanzaro U19301461042:3548
8Benevento U19301351242:5044
9Ternana U19301191051:5442
10Monopoli U19301071339:5037
11Bari U1930981342:4235
12Ascoli U1930891347:5033
13Palermo U19305121335:4327
14Cosenza U1930691532:6227
15Salernitana U1930661828:6224
16Crotone U19301101920:6213
Promotion - Primavera 1 (Main)
Promotion - Primavera 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 2 (Play Out)