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Ascoli U20 vs Napoli U20

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Primavera - Group C 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Primavera - Group C 2011/2012 game between Ascoli U20 and Napoli U20 finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Napoli U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Ascoli U20
30%
Draws
23%
Napoli U20
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ascoli U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Napoli U20's 1.36 goals per match outpaces what Ascoli U20 have produced (1.27).
  • Win probability leans Ascoli U20's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Napoli U20 here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Ascoli U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Napoli U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ascoli U20 Napoli U20
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 11 11
Draws 3 9
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 1.27 1.36
Goals Conceded 2.17 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 26, 2013 Primavera - Group C
Ascoli U20 vs Napoli U20
1:3
Sep 8, 2012 Primavera - Group C
Napoli U20 vs Ascoli U20
3:2
Apr 7, 2012 Primavera - Group C
Ascoli U20 vs Napoli U20
0:1
Sep 28, 2011 Primavera - Group C
Napoli U20 vs Ascoli U20
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ascoli U20 36 / 100
Napoli U20 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ascoli U20 Napoli U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Napoli U20 has conceded goals in 85% of their last 33 outings.

Ascoli U20 found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Ascoli U20 remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Napoli U20
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ascoli U20

(Home)
20 Apr
Pescara U20
1 : 2
Ascoli U20
13 Apr
Ascoli U20
0 : 4
Catania U20
06 Apr
Lanciano U20
1 : 3
Ascoli U20
03 Apr
Ascoli U20
1 : 4
Palermo U20
23 Mar
Ascoli U20
0 : 2
Juve Stabia U20
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Napoli U20

(Away)
23 May
Napoli U20
0 : 3
Cagliari U20
17 May
Cagliari U20
1 : 1
Napoli U20
10 May
Napoli U20
1 : 1
Lecce U20
02 May
Verona U20
5 : 2
Napoli U20
25 Apr
Napoli U20
1 : 1
Inter U20
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Roma U20 26 22 4 0 95:23 70
2 Lazio U20 26 19 5 2 93:20 62
3 Palermo U20 26 18 4 4 60:31 58
4 Catania U20 26 15 1 10 48:39 46
5 Napoli U20 26 13 6 7 41:38 45
6 Reggina U20 26 11 7 8 36:25 40
7 Lecce U20 26 12 3 11 53:58 39
8 Ascoli U20 26 9 3 14 34:59 30
9 Juve Stabia U20 26 4 13 9 28:36 25
10 Nocerina U20 26 7 4 15 37:64 25
11 Bari U20 26 6 6 14 39:55 24
12 Pescara U20 26 4 6 16 26:56 18
13 Crotone U20 26 3 7 16 36:65 16
14 Gubbio U20 26 2 5 19 17:74 11
Promotion - Primavera - Final Stage 2011/2012 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Primavera - Final Stage 2011/2012 (Qualification)