Sport Picks
Match Events
35'
35'
Jimenez K.
44'
44'
Corradini G.
46'
46'
Sub
Quaini A. In: Di Noia G.
Out: Quaini A.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 4-0, with Ascoli advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
60%
22%
18%
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Ascoli
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
82%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Ascoli come out ahead of Catania on wins alone.
- 60% — that's where the model lands on Ascoli taking it.
- Ascoli have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Catania, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Ascoli Clean Sheet 68%
Catania Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ascoli | Catania |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 30 |
| Wins | 17 | 13 |
| Draws | 5 | 11 |
| Losses | 5 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.63 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.38 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.38 | 1.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 27, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Catania vs Ascoli
2:1
May 24, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Ascoli vs Catania
4:0
Aug 4, 2010 Club Friendly
Ascoli vs Catania
1:2
May 2, 2007 Serie A
Catania vs Ascoli
3:3
Dec 3, 2006 Serie A
Ascoli vs Catania
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ascoli Compare
Top Goalscorer Corradini G.
1 Goals Assists Leader Guiebre A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Catania Compare
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ascoli 68 / 100
Catania 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ascoli Catania
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick ASC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.
Ascoli's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 27 recent games.
Ascoli went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Catania's defensive record shows goals conceded in 53% of 30 matches.
Scoring Trends
Ascoli VS Catania
1.63 Goals Scored 1
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Ascoli
(Home) 26 Jul
Frosinone
1 : 0 Ascoli
07 Jun
Ascoli
3 : 0 Union Brescia
03 Jun
Union Brescia
1 : 1 Ascoli
27 May
Catania
2 : 1 Ascoli
24 May
Ascoli
4 : 0 Catania
Page 1 of 6
07 Jun
Ascoli
3 : 0 Union Brescia
24 May
Ascoli
4 : 0 Catania
20 May
Ascoli
1 : 0 Potenza
18 Apr
Ascoli
1 : 0 Guidonia 1937
04 Apr
Ascoli
2 : 1 Vis Pesaro
Page 1 of 3
Catania
(Away) 27 May
Catania
2 : 1 Ascoli
24 May
Ascoli
4 : 0 Catania
20 May
Catania
3 : 3 Lecco
17 May
Lecco
0 : 0 Catania
26 Apr
Atalanta U23
1 : 1 Catania
Page 1 of 6
24 May
Ascoli
4 : 0 Catania
17 May
Lecco
0 : 0 Catania
26 Apr
Atalanta U23
1 : 1 Catania
13 Apr
Crotone
2 : 0 Catania
28 Mar
Latina
0 : 1 Catania
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Casertana1
Atalanta U230
Crotone1
Audace Cerignola1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Salernitana-
Cittadella2
Arzignano2
Lumezzane0
Alcione Milano0
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Ravenna-
Cosenza-
TBD-
Monopoli0
Casarano2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Renate-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Union Brescia-
Campobasso-
TBD-
Pineto2
Gubbio1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Potenza-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Ascoli-
Juventus U232
Vis Pesaro2
Pianese1
Ternana1
Lecco-
TBD-
Trento1
Giana Erminio2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Catania-
1/16-finals
Casertana1
Crotone1
TBD-
Salernitana-
Cittadella1
Lumezzane0
TBD-
Ravenna-
Cosenza1
Casarano5
TBD-
Renate-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Union Brescia-
Campobasso1
Pineto1
TBD-
Potenza-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Ascoli-
Juventus U230
Pianese2
Lecco2
Giana Erminio1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Catania-
1/8-finals
Casertana3
Salernitana4
Cittadella3
Ravenna3
Casarano3
Renate2
TBD-
Union Brescia-
Campobasso1
Potenza6
TBD-
Ascoli-
Pianese2
Lecco2
TBD-
Catania-
Quarter-finals
Salernitana4
Ravenna0
Casarano0
Union Brescia3
Potenza0
Ascoli1
Lecco3
Catania3
Semi-finals
Salernitana1
Union Brescia3
Ascoli5
Catania2
Final
Union Brescia1
Ascoli4
