Sport Picks
Match Events
35'
35'
Jimenez K.
44'
44'
Corradini G.
46'
46'
Sub
Quaini A. In: Di Noia G.
Out: Quaini A.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 4-0, with Ascoli advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
20%
33%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ascoli
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Ascoli come out ahead of Catania on wins alone.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Ascoli have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Catania, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Ascoli Clean Sheet 17%
Catania Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ascoli | Catania |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 18 | 9 |
| Draws | 4 | 10 |
| Losses | 6 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.79 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.86 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 27, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Catania vs Ascoli
2:1
May 24, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Ascoli vs Catania
4:0
Aug 4, 2010 Club Friendly
Ascoli vs Catania
1:2
May 2, 2007 Serie A
Catania vs Ascoli
3:3
Dec 3, 2006 Serie A
Ascoli vs Catania
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ascoli Compare
Top Goalscorer Corradini G.
1 Goals Assists Leader Guiebre A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Catania Compare
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ascoli 31 / 100
Catania 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ascoli Catania
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ascoli found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (28 games).
These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.
Catania let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.
Recent resilience: Ascoli stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Ascoli VS Catania
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Ascoli
(Home) 19 Sept
Ascoli
3 : 1 Avellino
12 Sept
Padova
1 : 0 Ascoli
05 Sept
Ascoli
1 : 0 Benevento
29 Aug
Ascoli
1 : 1 Carrarese
23 Aug
Verona
1 : 2 Ascoli
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Ascoli
3 : 1 Avellino
05 Sept
Ascoli
1 : 0 Benevento
29 Aug
Ascoli
1 : 1 Carrarese
08 Aug
Ascoli
3 : 1 Potenza
02 Aug
Ascoli
1 : 2 Lazio
Page 1 of 3
Catania
(Away) 19 Sept
Catania
0 : 0 Barletta
15 Sept
Picerno
2 : 4 Catania
12 Sept
Catania
1 : 2 Scafatese
07 Sept
Catania
4 : 0 Cosenza
02 Sept
Catania
0 : 3 A.C. Savoia
Page 1 of 6
15 Sept
Picerno
2 : 4 Catania
29 Aug
Monopoli
2 : 0 Catania
14 Aug
Parma
2 : 0 Catania
08 Aug
Vicenza
1 : 2 Catania
24 May
Ascoli
4 : 0 Catania
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Casertana 1
Atalanta U23 0
Crotone 1
Audace Cerignola 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Salernitana -
Cittadella 2
Arzignano 2
Lumezzane 0
Alcione Milano 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ravenna -
Cosenza -
TBD -
Monopoli 0
Casarano 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Renate -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Union Brescia -
Campobasso -
TBD -
Pineto 2
Gubbio 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Potenza -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ascoli -
Juventus U23 2
Vis Pesaro 2
Pianese 1
Ternana 1
Lecco -
TBD -
Trento 1
Giana Erminio 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Catania -
1/16-finals
Casertana 1
Crotone 1
TBD -
Salernitana -
Cittadella 1
Lumezzane 0
TBD -
Ravenna -
Cosenza 1
Casarano 5
TBD -
Renate -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Union Brescia -
Campobasso 1
Pineto 1
TBD -
Potenza -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ascoli -
Juventus U23 0
Pianese 2
Lecco 2
Giana Erminio 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Catania -
1/8-finals
Casertana 3
Salernitana 4
Cittadella 3
Ravenna 3
Casarano 3
Renate 2
TBD -
Union Brescia -
Campobasso 1
Potenza 6
TBD -
Ascoli -
Pianese 2
Lecco 2
TBD -
Catania -
Quarter-finals
Salernitana 4
Ravenna 0
Casarano 0
Union Brescia 3
Potenza 0
Ascoli 1
Lecco 3
Catania 3
Semi-finals
Salernitana 1
Union Brescia 3
Ascoli 5
Catania 2
Final
Union Brescia 1
Ascoli 4
