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Ascoli vs Guidonia 1937

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca, Ascoli Piceno
Our Tip

Match Events

57'
Sub
Gori G. In: Chakir M. A.
Out: Gori G.
57'
Sub
Corradini G. In: Milanese T.
Out: Corradini G.
59' Event
Milanese T.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 game between Ascoli and Guidonia 1937 finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ascoli.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Ascoli
30%
Draws
37%
Guidonia 1937
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Guidonia 1937

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Guidonia 1937 haven't matched Ascoli's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Ascoli Clean Sheet 20%
Guidonia 1937 Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ascoli Guidonia 1937
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 17 3
Draws 5 13
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1.68 0.89
Goals Conceded 0.82 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Serie C - Group B
Ascoli vs Guidonia 1937
1:0
Dec 14, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Guidonia 1937 vs Ascoli
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ascoli Compare

Top Goalscorer Milanese T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Guidonia 1937 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ascoli 32 / 100
Guidonia 1937 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ascoli Guidonia 1937

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ascoli's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Guidonia 1937 let in goals in 74% of their last 27 matches.

Recent resilience: Ascoli stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

H2H data points to 0.50 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Ascoli VS Guidonia 1937
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ascoli

(Home)
12 Sept
Padova
1 : 0
Ascoli
05 Sept
Ascoli
1 : 0
Benevento
29 Aug
Ascoli
1 : 1
Carrarese
23 Aug
Verona
1 : 2
Ascoli
16 Aug
Genoa
4 : 1
Ascoli
Page 1 of 6

Guidonia 1937

(Away)
16 Sept
Latina
1 : 1
Guidonia 1937
12 Sept
Guidonia 1937
1 : 1
Reggiana
05 Sept
Guidonia 1937
1 : 0
Pianese
30 Aug
Atalanta U23
2 : 1
Guidonia 1937
22 Aug
Guidonia 1937
3 : 0
Gubbio
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arezzo 36 24 8 4 64:24 80
2 Ascoli 36 23 8 5 63:23 77
3 Ravenna 36 22 7 7 50:30 73
4 Campobasso 36 17 10 9 49:37 59
5 Juventus U23 36 14 11 11 46:43 53
6 Pianese 36 11 17 8 37:34 50
7 Pineto 36 13 11 12 42:45 50
8 Gubbio 36 11 15 10 31:32 48
9 Ternana 36 14 11 11 44:40 48
10 Vis Pesaro 36 11 13 12 38:36 46
11 Livorno 36 12 7 17 39:51 43
12 Forli FC 36 10 10 16 41:52 40
13 Carpi 36 10 10 16 35:48 40
14 Perugia 36 8 14 14 38:44 38
15 Guidonia 1937 36 8 14 14 30:36 38
16 Sambenedettese 36 8 13 15 30:37 37
17 Sassari Torres 36 6 18 12 32:45 36
18 Bra 36 6 14 16 37:54 32
19 US Pontedera 36 3 11 22 27:62 20
20 Rimini 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Out)