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Ascoli vs Lazio - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

61' Event
Chakir M. A.
Assist: D'Uffizi S.
65' Event
Zaccagni M.
89' Event
Ratkov P.

AI Match Summary

Lazio in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lazio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Ascoli
30%
Draws
43%
Lazio
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lazio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

27% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lazio lately — more wins on the board than Ascoli.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Lazio have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Ascoli Clean Sheet 16%
Lazio Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ascoli Lazio
Matches Played 26 28
Wins 15 19
Draws 5 4
Losses 6 5
Goals Scored 1.65 2
Goals Conceded 0.81 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 Club Friendly
Ascoli vs Lazio
1:2
Apr 15, 2007 Serie A
Ascoli vs Lazio
2:2
Nov 26, 2006 Serie A
Lazio vs Ascoli
3:1
May 7, 2006 Serie A
Ascoli vs Lazio
1:4
Jan 8, 2006 Serie A
Lazio vs Ascoli
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ascoli Compare

Top Goalscorer Chakir M. A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Lazio Compare

Top Goalscorer Zaccagni M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ratkov P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ascoli 30 / 100
Lazio 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ascoli Lazio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ascoli Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ascoli's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 26 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Lazio conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.

Recent resilience: Ascoli stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ascoli VS Lazio
1.5 Goals Scored 2.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ascoli

(Home)
24 Oct
Catanzaro
1 : 6
Ascoli
17 Oct
Ascoli
1 : 1
Empoli
10 Oct
Sudtirol
0 : 0
Ascoli
19 Sept
Ascoli
3 : 1
Avellino
12 Sept
Padova
1 : 0
Ascoli
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Lazio

(Away)
24 Oct
Lazio
2 : 1
Parma
18 Oct
Juventus
0 : 3
Lazio
11 Oct
Lazio
3 : 1
Monza
03 Oct
Lazio
3 : 3
Juve Stabia
27 Sept
Lazio
2 : 0
Arezzo
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