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Ascoli vs Matelica

World World

Club Friendly 2020
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Volpicelli E.
25' Event
Matos R.
30' Event
Tassi E.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2020 game between Ascoli and Matelica finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ascoli.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Ascoli
20%
Draws
52%
Matelica
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Matelica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Ascoli carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Matelica are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Ascoli Clean Sheet 20%
Matelica Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ascoli Matelica
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 18 13
Draws 3 7
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 1.85 1.6
Goals Conceded 0.89 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2020 Club Friendly
Ascoli vs Matelica
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ascoli Compare

Top Goalscorer Matos R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tassi E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Matelica Compare

Top Goalscorer Volpicelli E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ascoli 24 / 100
Matelica 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ascoli Matelica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Matelica Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ascoli scored in 85% of their last 27 outings.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Matelica has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Ascoli remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ascoli VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
0.5 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ascoli

(Home)
23 Aug
Verona
1 : 2
Ascoli
16 Aug
Genoa
4 : 1
Ascoli
08 Aug
Ascoli
3 : 1
Potenza
02 Aug
Ascoli
1 : 2
Lazio
26 Jul
Frosinone
1 : 0
Ascoli
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Matelica

(Away)
26 May
Renate
1 : 1
Matelica
23 May
Matelica
1 : 1
Renate
19 May
Cesena
2 : 3
Matelica
09 May
Matelica
3 : 1
Sambenedettese
02 May
Matelica
3 : 0
Imolese
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