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Ascoli vs Potenza

Italy Italy

Coppa Italia Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca, Ascoli Piceno
Sat, Aug 8, 2026
VS
06:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Coppa Italia. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Potenza have shipped 1.13 goals a game lately, while Ascoli have conceded 0.5 and scored 1.38. Past meetings favor Ascoli slightly — 1-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 20, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.25 xG vs 1.00) point toward Ascoli. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Ascoli
20%
Draws
51%
Potenza
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Potenza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Very High Confidence
  • Ascoli have won more games recently than Potenza.
  • Win probability leans Ascoli's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Ascoli have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Ascoli, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Ascoli Clean Sheet 20%
Potenza Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ascoli Potenza
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 17 10
Draws 4 9
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 1.38 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Ascoli vs Potenza
1:0
May 17, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Potenza vs Ascoli
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ascoli 58 / 100
Potenza 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ascoli Potenza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ASC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ascoli's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Potenza's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 0.50 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Ascoli remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ascoli VS Potenza
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ascoli

(Home)
02 Aug
Ascoli
1 : 2
Lazio
26 Jul
Frosinone
1 : 0
Ascoli
07 Jun
Ascoli
3 : 0
Union Brescia
03 Jun
Union Brescia
1 : 1
Ascoli
27 May
Catania
2 : 1
Ascoli
Page 1 of 6

Potenza

(Away)
26 Jul
Potenza
0 : 4
Juve Stabia
20 May
Ascoli
1 : 0
Potenza
17 May
Potenza
0 : 0
Ascoli
13 May
Potenza
3 : 1
Campobasso
10 May
Campobasso
0 : 3
Potenza
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Inter -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Genoa -
TBD -
Ascoli -
Potenza -
Catanzaro -
TBD -
TBD -
Sudtirol -
Bologna -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lazio -
TBD -
TBD -
Mantova -
Lecce -
TBD -
TBD -
Palermo -
Torino -
TBD -
TBD -
Carrarese -
Monza -
TBD -
TBD -
Avellino -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AC Milan -
Cremonese -
TBD -
TBD -
Sampdoria -
Vicenza -
Catania -
TBD -
Parma -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Como -
AS Roma -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cagliari -
TBD -
Arezzo -
Union Brescia -
Verona -
TBD -
TBD -
Entella -
Juventus -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sassuolo -
TBD -
TBD -
Cesena -
Frosinone -
TBD -
TBD -
Juve Stabia -
Udinese -
TBD -
TBD -
Padova -
Venezia -
TBD -
TBD -
Modena -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Atalanta -
Pisa -
TBD -
TBD -
Empoli -
Benevento -
Ravenna -
TBD -
Fiorentina -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Napoli -
1/32-finals
Inter -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Genoa -
TBD -
Catanzaro -
Sudtirol -
Bologna -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lazio -
Mantova -
Lecce -
Palermo -
Torino -
Carrarese -
Monza -
Avellino -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AC Milan -
Cremonese -
Sampdoria -
TBD -
Parma -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Como -
AS Roma -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cagliari -
TBD -
Verona -
Entella -
Juventus -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sassuolo -
Cesena -
Frosinone -
Juve Stabia -
Udinese -
Padova -
Venezia -
Modena -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Atalanta -
Pisa -
Empoli -
TBD -
Fiorentina -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Napoli -
1/16-finals
Inter -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bologna -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AC Milan -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Como -
AS Roma -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Juventus -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Atalanta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Napoli -
1/8-finals
Inter -
TBD -
Bologna -
TBD -
TBD -
AC Milan -
TBD -
Como -
AS Roma -
TBD -
Juventus -
TBD -
TBD -
Atalanta -
TBD -
Napoli -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -