Sport Picks

Italy

Coppa Italia Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca, Ascoli Piceno

Ascoli

3 - 1

Potenza

Our Tip

Match Events

Selleri G.

16'

Curado M.

21'

Milanese T.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-1. This leg finished 3-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Ascoli

20%

Draws

40%

Potenza

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence

Ascoli have won more games recently than Potenza.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
Ascoli have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Ascoli, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
These two have met 3 times recently and Ascoli have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 38%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%

Ascoli Clean Sheet 17%

Potenza Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Ascoli	Potenza
Matches Played	29	32
Wins	19	14
Draws	4	7
Losses	6	11
Goals Scored	1.76	1.56
Goals Conceded	0.83	1.41
Expected Goals (xG)	1.44	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Coppa Italia

Ascoli vs Potenza

3:1

May 20, 2026 Serie C - Group A

Ascoli vs Potenza

1:0

May 17, 2026 Serie C - Group A

Potenza vs Ascoli

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ascoli Compare

Top Goalscorer Milanese T.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Gori G.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.11

Avg xA / game 0.72

Potenza Compare

Top Goalscorer Selleri G.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ascoli 31 / 100

Potenza 28 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Ascoli Potenza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ascoli's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Potenza has conceded goals in 72% of their last 32 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.67 goals per match.

Solid form: Ascoli remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ascoli VS Potenza

1.13 Goals Scored 1.5

1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75

63% Over 1.5 75%

50% Over 2.5 75%

25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ascoli

(Home)

19 Sept

Ascoli

3 : 1

Avellino

12 Sept

Padova

1 : 0

Ascoli

05 Sept

Ascoli

1 : 0

Benevento

29 Aug

Ascoli

1 : 1

Carrarese

23 Aug

Verona

1 : 2

Ascoli

Page 1 of 6

Potenza

(Away)

20 Sept

Potenza

4 : 2

Cavese

15 Sept

Bari

0 : 0

Potenza

11 Sept

Salernitana

4 : 2

Potenza

05 Sept

Potenza

1 : 0

Monopoli

01 Sept

Potenza

2 : 1

Monopoli

Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/64-finals

Inter -

TBD -

Genoa -

TBD -

Ascoli 3

Potenza 1

Catanzaro -

TBD -

Sudtirol -

Bologna -

TBD -

Lazio -

TBD -

Mantova -

Lecce -

TBD -

Palermo -

Torino -

TBD -

Carrarese -

Monza -

TBD -

Avellino -

TBD -

AC Milan -

Cremonese -

TBD -

Sampdoria -

Vicenza 1

Catania 2

TBD -

Parma -

TBD -

Como -

AS Roma -

TBD -

Cagliari -

TBD -

Arezzo 2

Union Brescia 0

Verona -

TBD -

Entella -

Juventus -

TBD -

Sassuolo -

TBD -

Cesena -

Frosinone -

TBD -

Juve Stabia -

Udinese -

TBD -

Padova -

Venezia -

TBD -

Modena -

TBD -

Atalanta -

Pisa -

TBD -

Empoli -

Benevento 5

Ravenna 3

TBD -

Fiorentina -

TBD -

Napoli -

1/32-finals

Inter -

TBD -

Genoa 4

Ascoli 1

Catanzaro 2

Sudtirol 3

Bologna -

TBD -

Lazio 0

Mantova 2

Lecce 0

Palermo 2

Torino 1

Carrarese 0

Monza 3

Avellino 0

TBD -

AC Milan -

Cremonese 2

Sampdoria 0

Catania 0

Parma 2

TBD -

Como -

AS Roma -

TBD -

Cagliari 1

Arezzo 0

Verona 3

Entella 2

Juventus -

TBD -

Sassuolo 3

Cesena 0

Frosinone 4

Juve Stabia 1

Udinese 1

Padova 0

Venezia 3

Modena 2

TBD -

Atalanta -

Pisa 2

Empoli 1

Benevento 1

Fiorentina 4

TBD -

Napoli -

1/16-finals

Inter -

TBD -

Genoa 1

Sudtirol 0

Bologna -

TBD -

Mantova 2

Palermo 5

Torino 0

Monza 1

TBD -

AC Milan -

Cremonese 2

Parma 0

TBD -

Como -

AS Roma -

TBD -

Cagliari 1

Verona 2

Juventus -

TBD -

Sassuolo 2

Frosinone 1

Udinese 2

Venezia 1

TBD -

Atalanta -

Pisa 0

Fiorentina 3

TBD -

Napoli -

1/8-finals

Inter -

Genoa -

Bologna -

Palermo -

Monza -

AC Milan -

Cremonese -

Como -

AS Roma -

Verona -

Juventus -

Sassuolo -

Udinese -

Atalanta -

Fiorentina -

Napoli -

Quarter-finals

TBD -

Semi-finals

TBD -

Final

TBD -

Ascoli vs Potenza

Italy

Ascoli

Potenza

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

Ascoli Compare

Potenza Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Ascoli

Potenza

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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