Sport Picks
Match Events
39'
39'
Sub
Nicoletti M. In: Rizzo N.
Out: Nicoletti M.
47'
47'
Petrungaro L.
55'
55'
Sub
D'Auria G. In: Schimmenti E.
Out: D'Auria G.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-0, with Ascoli advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
20%
47%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Potenza
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Ascoli come out ahead of Potenza on wins alone.
- 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Ascoli have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Ascoli, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Ascoli here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Ascoli Clean Sheet 17%
Potenza Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ascoli | Potenza |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 28 |
| Wins | 17 | 12 |
| Draws | 4 | 7 |
| Losses | 6 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.74 | 1.64 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.85 | 1.36 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 8, 2026 Coppa Italia
Ascoli vs Potenza
3:1
May 20, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Ascoli vs Potenza
1:0
May 17, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Potenza vs Ascoli
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ascoli Compare
Top Goalscorer Chakir M. A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Potenza Compare
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ascoli 36 / 100
Potenza 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ascoli Potenza
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Potenza Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ascoli scored in 85% of their last 27 games.
Potenza's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.
These sides typically produce 1.67 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Ascoli remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Ascoli VS Potenza
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Ascoli
(Home) 12 Sept
Padova
1 : 0 Ascoli
05 Sept
Ascoli
1 : 0 Benevento
29 Aug
Ascoli
1 : 1 Carrarese
23 Aug
Verona
1 : 2 Ascoli
16 Aug
Genoa
4 : 1 Ascoli
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Ascoli
1 : 0 Benevento
29 Aug
Ascoli
1 : 1 Carrarese
08 Aug
Ascoli
3 : 1 Potenza
02 Aug
Ascoli
1 : 2 Lazio
07 Jun
Ascoli
3 : 0 Union Brescia
Page 1 of 3
Potenza
(Away) 15 Sept
Bari
0 : 0 Potenza
11 Sept
Salernitana
4 : 2 Potenza
05 Sept
Potenza
1 : 0 Monopoli
01 Sept
Potenza
2 : 1 Monopoli
29 Aug
Cosenza
1 : 2 Potenza
Page 1 of 6
15 Sept
Bari
0 : 0 Potenza
11 Sept
Salernitana
4 : 2 Potenza
29 Aug
Cosenza
1 : 2 Potenza
08 Aug
Ascoli
3 : 1 Potenza
20 May
Ascoli
1 : 0 Potenza
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Casertana 1
Atalanta U23 0
Crotone 1
Audace Cerignola 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Salernitana -
Cittadella 2
Arzignano 2
Lumezzane 0
Alcione Milano 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ravenna -
Cosenza -
TBD -
Monopoli 0
Casarano 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Renate -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Union Brescia -
Campobasso -
TBD -
Pineto 2
Gubbio 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Potenza -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ascoli -
Juventus U23 2
Vis Pesaro 2
Pianese 1
Ternana 1
Lecco -
TBD -
Trento 1
Giana Erminio 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Catania -
1/16-finals
Casertana 1
Crotone 1
TBD -
Salernitana -
Cittadella 1
Lumezzane 0
TBD -
Ravenna -
Cosenza 1
Casarano 5
TBD -
Renate -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Union Brescia -
Campobasso 1
Pineto 1
TBD -
Potenza -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ascoli -
Juventus U23 0
Pianese 2
Lecco 2
Giana Erminio 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Catania -
1/8-finals
Casertana 3
Salernitana 4
Cittadella 3
Ravenna 3
Casarano 3
Renate 2
TBD -
Union Brescia -
Campobasso 1
Potenza 6
TBD -
Ascoli -
Pianese 2
Lecco 2
TBD -
Catania -
Quarter-finals
Salernitana 4
Ravenna 0
Casarano 0
Union Brescia 3
Potenza 0
Ascoli 1
Lecco 3
Catania 3
Semi-finals
Salernitana 1
Union Brescia 3
Ascoli 5
Catania 2
Final
Union Brescia 1
Ascoli 4
