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Ascoli vs Ravenna

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca, Ascoli Piceno
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Okaka S.
48' Event
Gori G.
49'
Gori G.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 game between Ascoli and Ravenna finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ascoli.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Ascoli
30%
Draws
16%
Ravenna
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ascoli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Ascoli carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Ascoli a 54% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 60.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Ascoli Clean Sheet 68%
Ravenna Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ascoli Ravenna
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 18 12
Draws 3 8
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 1.85 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.85 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2026 Serie C - Group B
Ascoli vs Ravenna
2:0
Nov 2, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Ravenna vs Ascoli
1:0
Feb 2, 2008 Serie B
Ascoli vs Ravenna
5:0
Sep 1, 2007 Serie B
Ravenna vs Ascoli
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ascoli Compare

Top Goalscorer Gori G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Ravenna Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ascoli 95 / 100
Ravenna 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ascoli Ravenna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ASC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ascoli's goal record stands at 85% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Ascoli stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: Ravenna registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ascoli VS Ravenna
1.38 Goals Scored 1
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.71
50% Over 1.5 71%
38% Over 2.5 29%
13% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Ascoli

(Home)
08 Aug
Ascoli
3 : 1
Potenza
02 Aug
Ascoli
1 : 2
Lazio
26 Jul
Frosinone
1 : 0
Ascoli
07 Jun
Ascoli
3 : 0
Union Brescia
03 Jun
Union Brescia
1 : 1
Ascoli
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Ravenna

(Away)
09 Aug
Benevento
5 : 3
Ravenna
20 May
Ravenna
0 : 2
Salernitana
17 May
Salernitana
2 : 0
Ravenna
13 May
Ravenna
1 : 1
Cittadella
10 May
Cittadella
2 : 2
Ravenna
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arezzo 36 24 8 4 64:24 80
2 Ascoli 36 23 8 5 63:23 77
3 Ravenna 36 22 7 7 50:30 73
4 Campobasso 36 17 10 9 49:37 59
5 Juventus U23 36 14 11 11 46:43 53
6 Pianese 36 11 17 8 37:34 50
7 Pineto 36 13 11 12 42:45 50
8 Gubbio 36 11 15 10 31:32 48
9 Ternana 36 14 11 11 44:40 48
10 Vis Pesaro 36 11 13 12 38:36 46
11 Livorno 36 12 7 17 39:51 43
12 Forli FC 36 10 10 16 41:52 40
13 Carpi 36 10 10 16 35:48 40
14 Perugia 36 8 14 14 38:44 38
15 Guidonia 1937 36 8 14 14 30:36 38
16 Sambenedettese 36 8 13 15 30:37 37
17 Sassari Torres 36 6 18 12 32:45 36
18 Bra 36 6 14 16 37:54 32
19 US Pontedera 36 3 11 22 27:62 20
20 Rimini 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Out)