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Ascot United vs Holyport

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Club Friendly 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ascot United play Holyport in the Club Friendly 2024. Ascot United are favorites here. Recently, Ascot United averaged 1.48 goals scored and 1.93 conceded. Holyport averaged 0.43 goals scored and 3.86 conceded. In past meetings, Ascot United won 1, Holyport won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 16, 2024 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.44 for Ascot United and 0.88 for Holyport. This points to a Ascot United double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

71%
Ascot United
15%
Draws
14%
Holyport
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ascot United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Ascot United picked up more points recently compared to Holyport.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.44 vs 0.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 66%
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40%
Ascot United Clean Sheet 25%
Holyport Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 59%
Second Half Goal 63%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ascot United Holyport
Matches Played 27 7
Wins 10 0
Draws 4 1
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 1.48 0.43
Goals Conceded 1.93 3.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 3.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 16, 2024 Club Friendly
Ascot United vs Holyport
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ascot United 69 / 100
Holyport 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ascot United Holyport

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ascot United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Ascot United & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +12.9%
1.59
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.3%
2.08
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ascot United attacking → ← attacking Holyport

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ascot United scored in 70% of their last 27 games.

Holyport let in goals in 100% of their last 7 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Ascot United went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Holyport lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

34 Points in last 5 1
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.25
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.25