Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ascot United vs Lewes

England England

FA Cup 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Lewes advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Ascot United
20%
Draws
51%
Lewes
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lewes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Lewes haven't matched Ascot United's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Ascot United have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Lewes, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Ascot United Clean Sheet 20%
Lewes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ascot United Lewes
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 9
Draws 4 5
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 1.47 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 15, 2023 FA Cup
Ascot United vs Lewes
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ascot United 31 / 100
Lewes 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ascot United Lewes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ascot United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ascot United scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Lewes has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Ascot United went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ascot United VS Lewes
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ascot United

(Home)
12 Sept
Ascot United
1 : 3
Ashford United
08 Sept
Pagham
2 : 0
Ascot United
06 Sept
Ascot United
1 : 1
Pagham
28 Aug
Ascot United
3 : 0
Margate
20 Sept
Hadley
3 : 2
Ascot United
Page 1 of 6

Lewes

(Away)
12 Sept
Chatham
3 : 2
Lewes
08 Sept
Cray Wanderers
1 : 0
Lewes
05 Sept
Lewes
2 : 2
Cray Wanderers
31 Aug
Lewes
1 : 0
Eastbourne Borough
29 Aug
Aveley
0 : 2
Lewes
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Darlington FC -
TBD -
Workington 6
Prestwich Heys 0
Farsley -
TBD -
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Scarborough Athletic -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Oxford City -
Altrincham -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Oldham -
Halifax -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Clitheroe 1
Hyde 2
Brighouse Town 2
Albion Sports 4
Spennymoor -
TBD -
Guiseley 0
Marine 3
Blyth Spartans -
TBD -
Consett 0
Bradford PA 2
Lincoln Utd. 2
Kidsgrove Athletic 0
Worksop 4
Sheffield FC 1
Rushall -
TBD -
Nuneaton 1
Carlton Town 2
Boston United -
TBD -
Leamington 2
Coleshill Town 0
AFC Fylde -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sherwood Colliery 1
Worcester 2
Leek Town 5
Grimsby Borough 0
South Shields -
TBD -
Bishop Auckland 2
West Auckland Town 1
Hereford -
TBD -
Anstey Nomads 3
Hanley Town 0
Biggleswade FC 8
Maldon & Tiptree 0
Leighton Town 1
Cambridge City 6
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rochdale -
York City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Peterborough Sports -
TBD -
Redditch 5
Boldmere St Michaels 0
Hashtag 1
Brentwood 0
Romania 0
Needham Market 3
Solihull Moors -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stortford -
TBD -
Biggleswade Town 5
New Salamis FC 1
Barton 2
Milton Keynes Irish 1
Concord Rangers 1
Wroxham 4
Chesterfield -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hitchin 2
Welwyn Garden 1
Mildenhall 0
Sudbury 5
Hullbridge 0
Kettering 1
Sporting Khalsa 5
Darlaston Town (1874) 4
Cleethorpes 2
Hinckley LR 1
TBD -
Alfreton -
Bamber Bridge 0
Mossley AFC 4
Widnes FC 2
AFC Emley 5
Whickham 1
Macclesfield 4
TBD -
Buxton -
United of Manchester 1
Barnoldswick Town 0
Warrington Rylands 1
Stockton 0
Hartlepool -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tadcaster Albion 2
Heaton Stannington 1
TBD -
Chester -
Nantwich 3
Shifnal Town 2
TBD -
Banbury -
Rugby 0
Barwell 2
Ashby Ivanhoe 0
Bromsgrove 2
Ware 3
Dereham 2
TBD -
Chelmsford -
Goole 0
Whitby 6
Prescot Cables 4
North Ferriby FC 2
Morpeth 3
Radcliffe 2
TBD -
Southport -
Warrington Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Curzon Ashton -
Charnock Richard 4
Runcorn Linnets 5
TBD -
Chorley -
Telford 0
Coalville Town 1
Stafford 2
Atherstone 0
Tamworth -
TBD -
Harborough 3
Stamford 1
Kidderminster -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lancaster 2
Witton Albion 1
Ossett United 0
Marske United 3
Ashton United 3
Dunston 1
FC Guisborough Town 0
Atherton Collieries 4
Long Eaton 1
Stourbridge 3
Gainsborough 3
Matlock 6
Mickleover 3
Ilkeston 0
Stratford 1
Spalding United 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gateshead -
Aldershot -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ascot United 1
Westfield 0
Faversham 0
Lewes 4
Southall FC 5
Beaconsfield Town 4
TBD -
Hampton & Richmond -
Tiverton 0
Wimborne 1
TBD -
Torquay -
Chippenham Town -
TBD -
Hungerford 4
Petersfield 0
Reading City 3
Shaftesbury Town 1
Winchester City 3
Evesham 2
Hadley 2
Steyning Town 3
TBD -
Maidstone -
Gloucester City -
TBD -
AFC Totton 5
Sholing 1
Eastbourne United 2
Epsom 1
Berkhamsted Town 5
Beckenham Town 4
Cray Wanderers 5
Newhaven FC 1
Chatham 1
Ramsgate 5
Plymouth Parkway 2
Dorchester 0
Frome Town 3
Clevedon 1
King’s Lynn -
TBD -
TBD -
Aveley -
Kirkley & Pakefield 1
FC Witham Town 2
Hornchurch 5
Fakenham 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
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Barnet -
Bedford 5
Walthamstow FC 0
Heybridge 1
Gorleston 3
Royston Town 1
Cheshunt 0
TBD -
Hemel Hempstead -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
Woking -
Leatherhead 1
Horsham FC 2
Marlow 2
Croydon Athletic 0
Knaphill 1
Hanwell Town 0
Hythe 0
Hanworth Villa 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dorking Wanderers -
Eastleigh -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dover Ath. -
TBD -
Erith & Belvedere 1
Hastings 2
Dulwich Hamlet 2
Haringey Borough 3
TBD -
Tonbridge -
Yeovil -
TBD -
AFC Stoneham 5
Basingstoke 4
Didcot 5
Tadley Calleva 1
Bishops Cleeve 2
Bristol Manor Farm 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
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Southend -
Bromley -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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Wealdstone -
Whitstable Town 2
Wingate & Finchley 3
TBD -
Farnborough -
Weston-super-Mare -
TBD -
TBD -
Truro -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Maidenhead -
Canvey Island 5
Lowestoft 1
TBD -
Braintree -
Scunthorpe -
TBD -
TBD -
Brackley -
Flackwell Heath 1
Farnham 2
Walton & Hersham 1
Chesham 3
Hendon 2
Margate 3
Hartley Wintney 0
Folkestone 4
Harrow Borough 0
Bracknell Town 2
TBD -
Havant & Waterlooville -
Horndean 3
Bideford 0
Poole Town 3
Barnstaple Town 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dagenham & Red. -
Eastbourne Borough -
TBD -
TBD -
Worthing FC -
Sevenoaks 1
Whitehawk 2
Redhill 1
Herne Bay 0
Okehampton Argyle 1
Highworth 3
TBD -
Weymouth -
Larkhall 3
Moneyfields 0
TBD -
Bath City -
Boreham Wood -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Laverstock & Ford 2
Gosport Borough 7
Swindon Supermarine 1
Cribbs 2
Dartford -
TBD -
TBD -
Welling -
Lancing 2
Carshalton 5
Kingstonian 4
Lydd Town 1
Binfield 2
Northwood 3
Uxbridge 0
Cray Valley 3
Halesowen 7
Rugby Borough 0
Alvechurch 1
Basford Utd. 0
Enfield Town 3
Potters 0
Woodford Town 1
Felixstowe & Walton 4
Ebbsfleet -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mousehole 5
Bashley 3
Salisbury 3
Bridgwater United 2
Hayes & Yeading 2
Chertsey Town 1
TBD -
Slough Town -
Brightlingsea 2
Sawbridgeworth 0
Billericay 7
Stowmarket Town 0
Leiston 2
St Ives Town 1
TBD -
St. Albans -
Merthyr Town 5
Yate 1
TBD -
Taunton Town -
Sheppey United 3
Kennington 1
Burgess Hill 2
Bognor Regis 0
Quarter-finals
Darlington FC 3
Workington 1
Farsley 1
Scarborough Athletic 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Oxford City -
Altrincham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Oldham -
Halifax -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hyde 2
Albion Sports 1
Spennymoor 3
Marine 4
Blyth Spartans 4
Bradford PA 2
Lincoln Utd. 0
Worksop 3
Rushall 3
Carlton Town 2
Boston United 4
Leamington 0
AFC Fylde -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Worcester 0
Leek Town 2
South Shields 2
Bishop Auckland 0
Hereford 2
Anstey Nomads 0
Biggleswade FC 1
Cambridge City 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rochdale -
York City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Peterborough Sports 3
Redditch 1
Hashtag 0
Needham Market 1
Solihull Moors -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stortford 4
Biggleswade Town 6
Barton 5
Wroxham 4
Chesterfield -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hitchin 3
Sudbury 0
Kettering 1
Sporting Khalsa 0
Cleethorpes 2
Alfreton 4
Mossley AFC 2
AFC Emley 4
Macclesfield 2
Buxton 0
United of Manchester 0
Warrington Rylands 4
Hartlepool -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tadcaster Albion 1
Chester 3
Nantwich 2
Banbury 1
Barwell 1
Bromsgrove 2
Ware 4
Chelmsford 5
Whitby 2
Prescot Cables 1
Morpeth 3
Southport 0
Warrington Town 2
Curzon Ashton 3
Runcorn Linnets 2
Chorley 4
Coalville Town 2
Stafford 1
Tamworth 2
Harborough 1
Kidderminster -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lancaster 4
Marske United 1
Ashton United 5
Atherton Collieries 3
Stourbridge 2
Matlock 0
Mickleover 3
Spalding United 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gateshead -
Aldershot -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ascot United 1
Lewes 2
Southall FC 1
Hampton & Richmond 2
Wimborne 0
Torquay 3
Chippenham Town 1
Hungerford 4
Reading City 2
Winchester City 5
Steyning Town 1
Maidstone 4
Gloucester City 0
AFC Totton 3
Eastbourne United 1
Berkhamsted Town 3
Cray Wanderers 4
Ramsgate 5
Plymouth Parkway 3
Frome Town 4
King’s Lynn 0
Aveley 4
FC Witham Town 1
Hornchurch 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Barnet -
Bedford 2
Gorleston 3
Royston Town 1
Hemel Hempstead 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Woking -
Horsham FC 5
Marlow 3
Knaphill 0
Hanworth Villa 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dorking Wanderers -
Eastleigh -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dover Ath. 3
Hastings 2
Haringey Borough 4
Tonbridge 2
Yeovil 7
AFC Stoneham 1
Didcot 2
Bristol Manor Farm 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Southend -
Bromley -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Wealdstone -
Wingate & Finchley 0
Farnborough 6
Weston-super-Mare 2
Truro 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Maidenhead -
Canvey Island 2
Braintree 4
Scunthorpe 1
Brackley 3
Farnham 1
Chesham 2
Margate 5
Folkestone 3
Bracknell Town 2
Havant & Waterlooville 1
Horndean 0
Poole Town 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dagenham & Red. -
Eastbourne Borough 0
Worthing FC 1
Whitehawk 4
Redhill 0
Highworth 1
Weymouth 3
Larkhall 2
Bath City 3
Boreham Wood -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gosport Borough 3
Cribbs 0
Dartford 2
Welling 3
Carshalton 4
Kingstonian 0
Northwood 5
Cray Valley 6
Halesowen 5
Alvechurch 2
Enfield Town 3
Felixstowe & Walton 0
Ebbsfleet -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mousehole 0
Salisbury 5
Hayes & Yeading 0
Slough Town 2
Brightlingsea 1
Billericay 3
Leiston 1
St. Albans 2
Merthyr Town 3
Taunton Town 2
Sheppey United 3
Burgess Hill 0
Semi-finals
Darlington FC 1
Scarborough Athletic 2
TBD -
Oxford City -
Altrincham -
TBD -
TBD -
Oldham -
Halifax -
TBD -
Hyde 0
Marine 2
Blyth Spartans 1
Worksop 6
Rushall 0
Boston United 1
AFC Fylde -
TBD -
Leek Town 2
South Shields 0
Hereford 3
Cambridge City 0
TBD -
Rochdale -
York City -
TBD -
Peterborough Sports 0
Needham Market 3
Solihull Moors -
TBD -
Biggleswade Town 3
Barton 1
Chesterfield -
TBD -
Hitchin 0
Kettering 1
Alfreton 1
AFC Emley 0
Macclesfield 2
Warrington Rylands 1
Hartlepool -
TBD -
Chester 2
Nantwich 1
Bromsgrove 2
Chelmsford 5
Whitby 1
Morpeth 0
Curzon Ashton 2
Chorley 1
Coalville Town 0
Tamworth 2
Kidderminster -
TBD -
Lancaster 0
Ashton United 2
Stourbridge 2
Mickleover 0
TBD -
Gateshead -
Aldershot -
TBD -
Lewes 3
Hampton & Richmond 0
Torquay 5
Hungerford 0
Winchester City 0
Maidstone 2
AFC Totton 1
Berkhamsted Town 0
Ramsgate 2
Frome Town 1
Aveley 4
Hornchurch 3
TBD -
Barnet -
Gorleston 0
Hemel Hempstead 2
TBD -
Woking -
Horsham FC 3
Hanworth Villa 1
TBD -
Dorking Wanderers -
Eastleigh -
TBD -
Dover Ath. 2
Haringey Borough 1
Yeovil 2
Didcot 0
TBD -
Southend -
Bromley -
TBD -
TBD -
Wealdstone -
Farnborough 0
Weston-super-Mare 1
TBD -
Maidenhead -
Braintree 3
Brackley 2
Chesham 2
Margate 0
Bracknell Town 3
Poole Town 1
TBD -
Dagenham & Red. -
Worthing FC 2
Whitehawk 1
Weymouth 1
Bath City 2
Boreham Wood -
TBD -
Gosport Borough 4
Welling 6
Carshalton 4
Cray Valley 5
Halesowen 1
Enfield Town 2
Ebbsfleet -
TBD -
Salisbury 0
Slough Town 3
Billericay 1
St. Albans 0
Merthyr Town 1
Sheppey United 4
Final
Scarborough Athletic 5
Oxford City 4
Altrincham 0
Oldham 1
Halifax 0
Marine 1
Worksop 3
Boston United 2
AFC Fylde 3
Leek Town 1
Hereford 1
Rochdale 0
York City 1
Needham Market 0
Solihull Moors 4
Biggleswade Town 1
Chesterfield 5
Kettering 0
Alfreton 3
Macclesfield 1
Hartlepool 0
Chester 2
Chelmsford 3
Whitby 5
Curzon Ashton 1
Tamworth 0
Kidderminster 2
Ashton United 0
Stourbridge 0
Gateshead 3
Aldershot 4
Lewes 1
Torquay 0
Maidstone 2
AFC Totton 0
Ramsgate 1
Aveley 2
Barnet 6
Hemel Hempstead 0
Woking 2
Horsham FC 2
Dorking Wanderers 0
Eastleigh 1
Dover Ath. 0
Yeovil 2
Southend 0
Bromley 3
Wealdstone 2
Weston-super-Mare 0
Maidenhead 3
Braintree 1
Chesham 3
Bracknell Town 1
Dagenham & Red. 0
Worthing FC 2
Bath City 0
Boreham Wood 1
Welling 0
Cray Valley 5
Enfield Town 2
Ebbsfleet 2
Slough Town 4
Billericay 2
Sheppey United 3