Sport Picks

Stadium Background

ASD Francavilla vs Nerostellati Pratola

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

ASD Francavilla in this Serie D - Group F 2017/2018 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored ASD Francavilla.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
ASD Francavilla
11%
Draws
9%
Nerostellati Pratola
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: ASD Francavilla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to ASD Francavilla lately — more wins on the board than Nerostellati Pratola.
  • Win probability leans ASD Francavilla's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
ASD Francavilla Clean Sheet 20%
Nerostellati Pratola Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ASD Francavilla Nerostellati Pratola
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 14 3
Draws 13 9
Losses 6 18
Goals Scored 1.25 0
Goals Conceded 1 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 14, 2018 Serie D - Group F
ASD Francavilla vs Nerostellati Pratola
1:0
Sep 9, 2017 Serie D - Group F
Nerostellati Pratola vs ASD Francavilla
0:7

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ASD Francavilla 76 / 100
Nerostellati Pratola 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ASD Francavilla Nerostellati Pratola

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ASD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nerostellati Pratola has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: ASD Francavilla stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: ASD Francavilla scored in 79% of their last 33 outings.

Scoring Trends

ASD Francavilla VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

ASD Francavilla

(Home)
05 May
ASD Francavilla
2 : 2
Savignanese
28 Apr
Isernia
0 : 1
ASD Francavilla
18 Apr
ASD Francavilla
2 : 2
Jesina
14 Apr
Santarcangelo
2 : 3
ASD Francavilla
07 Apr
ASD Francavilla
3 : 3
Recanatese
Page 1 of 7

Nerostellati Pratola

(Away)
05 May
Fabriano Cerreto
1 : 1
Nerostellati Pratola
29 Apr
Nerostellati Pratola
1 : 1
Agnonese
22 Apr
Notaresco Calcio
3 : 0
Nerostellati Pratola
15 Apr
Monticelli
1 : 1
Nerostellati Pratola
08 Apr
Nerostellati Pratola
1 : 3
Sangiustese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vis Pesaro34234761:2973
2Matelica34225766:2871
3Avezzano341614451:2662
4Pineto341512753:4157
5Aquila Calcio341510957:4055
6ASD Francavilla341411947:3853
7San Marino Calcio341561345:3551
8Vastese341561355:5051
9Sangiustese341391239:4148
10Campobasso3413101141:4045
11Castelfidardo341281443:5444
12Recanatese341271547:4743
13Agnonese341181534:3541
14Notaresco Calcio341171642:5140
15Jesina348101632:4634
16Monticelli345151425:4530
17Fabriano Cerreto34552429:6920
18Nerostellati Pratola34392219:7118
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2017/2018 (Play Offs)