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Asenovets vs Sadovo

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-East 2018/2019
Asenovets Logo

Asenovets

4 - 0
FT
Sadovo Logo

Sadovo

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-East 2018/2019 game between Asenovets and Sadovo finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Asenovets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Asenovets
15%
Draws
42%
Sadovo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Asenovets

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Asenovets carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Sadovo taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Asenovets Clean Sheet 13%
Sadovo Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Asenovets Sadovo
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 11 5
Draws 4 1
Losses 23 24
Goals Scored 1.21 0.47
Goals Conceded 2.29 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2019 Third League - South-East
Asenovets vs Sadovo
4:0
Oct 24, 2018 Third League - South-East
Sadovo vs Asenovets
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Asenovets 14 / 100
Sadovo 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Asenovets Sadovo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sadovo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sadovo let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Asenovets's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 38 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Sadovo has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Asenovets VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
2.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Asenovets

(Home)
27 May
Nesebar
8 : 1
Asenovets
23 May
Asenovets
4 : 2
Rozova Dolina
16 May
Atletik Kuklen
2 : 1
Asenovets
13 May
Asenovets
0 : 2
Gigant Saedinenie
09 May
Maritsa Milevo
4 : 0
Asenovets
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Sadovo

(Away)
24 May
Chernomorets 1919
3 : 0
Sadovo
18 May
Sadovo
2 : 0
Svilengrad 1921
14 May
Sadovo
1 : 2
Sokol Markovo
12 May
Levski Karlovo
2 : 0
Sadovo
08 May
Sadovo
1 : 4
Neftochimic Burgas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Neftochimic Burgas 34 29 3 2 88:21 90
2 Sozopol 34 27 4 3 74:27 85
3 Zagorets 34 24 5 5 81:22 77
4 Chernomorets 1919 34 21 5 8 76:35 68
5 Maritsa Plovdiv 34 16 10 8 44:29 58
6 Radnevo 34 17 5 12 46:30 56
7 OFC Haskovo 34 14 8 12 54:47 50
8 Rozova Dolina 34 14 6 14 58:50 48
9 Atletik Kuklen 34 13 7 14 48:46 46
10 Sokol Markovo 34 12 6 16 46:58 42
11 Gigant Saedinenie 34 11 8 15 32:36 41
12 Borislav Parvomay 34 12 3 19 44:47 39
13 Karnobat 34 10 7 17 41:67 37
14 Levski Karlovo 34 9 9 16 25:52 36
15 Dimitrovgrad 34 9 4 21 30:54 31
16 Svilengrad 1921 34 7 8 19 30:69 29
17 Sadovo 34 6 1 27 18:90 19
18 Asenovets 34 3 5 26 36:91 14
Promotion - Vtora liga 2019/2020 (Main)