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Asenovets vs Sozopol

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-East 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-East 2025/2026 game between Asenovets and Sozopol finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sozopol.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Asenovets
15%
Draws
65%
Sozopol
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sozopol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Asenovets haven't matched Sozopol's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Sozopol a 65% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Third League - South-East 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Asenovets Clean Sheet 10%
Sozopol Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Asenovets Sozopol
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 5 13
Draws 4 6
Losses 21 9
Goals Scored 0.8 1.43
Goals Conceded 2.6 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Third League - South-East
Asenovets vs Sozopol
1:4
Oct 11, 2025 Third League - South-East
Sozopol vs Asenovets
3:1
Feb 28, 2025 Third League - South-East
Asenovets vs Sozopol
1:0
Aug 17, 2024 Third League - South-East
Sozopol vs Asenovets
0:2
Apr 3, 2024 Third League - South-East
Sozopol vs Asenovets
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Asenovets 10 / 100
Sozopol 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Asenovets Sozopol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sozopol Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Asenovets scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Sozopol let in goals in 50% of their last 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Asenovets stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Asenovets VS Sozopol
0.38 Goals Scored 2.13
2.88 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Asenovets

(Home)
27 May
Nesebar
8 : 1
Asenovets
23 May
Asenovets
4 : 2
Rozova Dolina
16 May
Atletik Kuklen
2 : 1
Asenovets
13 May
Asenovets
0 : 2
Gigant Saedinenie
09 May
Maritsa Milevo
4 : 0
Asenovets
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Sozopol

(Away)
08 Aug
Spartak Plovdiv
4 : 3
Sozopol
27 May
Sozopol
4 : 1
Rakovski 2011
23 May
Sekirovo Rakovski
0 : 1
Sozopol
16 May
Sozopol
1 : 0
OFC Haskovo
13 May
Lok. Plovdiv II
0 : 0
Sozopol
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nesebar 36 29 4 3 116:22 91
2 Maritsa Plovdiv 36 23 6 7 90:40 75
3 Neftochimic Burgas 36 19 9 8 53:39 66
4 Yambol 1915 36 20 6 10 72:41 66
5 Levski Karlovo 36 20 5 11 64:53 65
6 Maritsa Milevo 36 17 9 10 64:32 60
7 Spartak Plovdiv 36 15 9 12 64:58 54
8 Sozopol 36 16 6 14 50:38 54
9 OFC Haskovo 36 15 7 14 52:48 52
10 Zagorets 36 13 10 13 52:60 49
11 Rozova Dolina 36 14 6 16 45:52 48
12 Gigant Saedinenie 36 14 5 17 56:59 47
13 Rodopa Smolyan 36 14 4 18 51:70 46
14 Atletik Kuklen 36 13 3 20 43:78 42
15 Sekirovo Rakovski 36 9 8 19 30:53 35
16 Dimitrovgrad 36 10 5 21 42:82 35
17 Lok. Plovdiv II 36 9 6 21 44:53 33
18 Rakovski 2011 36 8 3 25 46:94 27
19 Asenovets 36 6 5 25 30:92 23
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