Sport Picks
Match Events
3'
3'
Coll K.
35'
35'
Ballestero J.
44'
44'
French R.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
35%
34%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
31%
/ Low Confidence
- Cariari Pococi have won more games recently than Aserri.
- 31% — that's where the model lands on Aserri taking it.
- Regular Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
Aserri Clean Sheet 68%
Cariari Pococi Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Aserri | Cariari Pococi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 25 | 27 |
| Wins | 5 | 8 |
| Draws | 11 | 11 |
| Losses | 9 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.04 | 1.48 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.8 | 1.37 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 6, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Aserri vs Cariari Pococi
1:1
Apr 12, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Aserri vs Cariari Pococi
2:2
Mar 19, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Cariari Pococi vs Aserri
2:2
Nov 16, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Cariari Pococi vs Aserri
3:0
Sep 27, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Aserri vs Cariari Pococi
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Aserri Compare
Top Goalscorer Coll K.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ballestero J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Cariari Pococi Compare
Top Goalscorer French R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Pennant A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Aserri 68 / 100
Cariari Pococi 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Aserri Cariari Pococi
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Aserri Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Cariari Pococi has conceded goals in 81% of their last 27 outings.
Aserri found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (25 games).
Games between these two average 2.80 goals.
Aserri has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Aserri VS Cariari Pococi
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Aserri
(Home) 06 Sept
Aserri
1 : 1 Cariari Pococi
28 Aug
Carmelita
1 : 2 Aserri
22 Aug
Aserri
1 : 1 Pitbulls
15 Aug
Guadalupe
0 : 2 Aserri
01 Aug
Santa Ana
1 : 0 Aserri
Page 1 of 5
06 Sept
Aserri
1 : 1 Cariari Pococi
22 Aug
Aserri
1 : 1 Pitbulls
12 Apr
Aserri
2 : 2 Cariari Pococi
31 Mar
Aserri
0 : 0 Carmelita
10 Mar
Aserri
1 : 0 CS Uruguay
Page 1 of 3
Cariari Pococi
(Away) 06 Sept
Aserri
1 : 1 Cariari Pococi
29 Aug
Cariari Pococi
3 : 3 Guadalupe
21 Aug
FC Moravia
0 : 1 Cariari Pococi
08 Aug
CS Uruguay
0 : 1 Cariari Pococi
12 Apr
Aserri
2 : 2 Cariari Pococi
Page 1 of 6
06 Sept
Aserri
1 : 1 Cariari Pococi
21 Aug
FC Moravia
0 : 1 Cariari Pococi
08 Aug
CS Uruguay
0 : 1 Cariari Pococi
12 Apr
Aserri
2 : 2 Cariari Pococi
29 Mar
CS Uruguay
1 : 0 Cariari Pococi
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ADR Jicaral | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 25:12 | 30 |
| 2 | Inter San Carlos | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 25:14 | 28 |
| 3 | Quepos FC | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 30:21 | 28 |
| 4 | Santa Cruz | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 19:17 | 17 |
| 5 | Grecia | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 16:18 | 17 |
| 6 | AD Sarchi | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 19:23 | 17 |
| 7 | Cofutpa | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 14:27 | 10 |
| 8 | Dep. Upala | 14 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 15:31 | 5 |
| 9 | Municipal Turrialba | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Escorpiones | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 33:10 | 32 |
| 2 | CS Uruguay | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 25:20 | 23 |
| 3 | Pitbulls | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 20:16 | 22 |
| 4 | FC Moravia | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 19:19 | 19 |
| 5 | Cariari Pococi | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 19:23 | 15 |
| 6 | Aserri | 14 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 15:28 | 14 |
| 7 | Santa Ana | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 19:28 | 12 |
| 8 | Carmelita | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 10:16 | 11 |
| 9 | Limon Black Star | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)
