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Aserri vs Escorpiones

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

58' Event
Lopez R.
67' Event
Lopez R.

AI Match Summary

The Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026 game between Aserri and Escorpiones finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Escorpiones.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Aserri
35%
Draws
46%
Escorpiones
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Escorpiones

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Escorpiones come out ahead of Aserri on wins alone.
  • Escorpiones are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Escorpiones have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Aserri Clean Sheet 10%
Escorpiones Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aserri Escorpiones
Matches Played 25 27
Wins 4 15
Draws 10 7
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 0.92 1.96
Goals Conceded 1.88 0.85
Expected Goals (xG) 0.44 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Escorpiones vs Aserri
8:0
Feb 22, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Aserri vs Escorpiones
0:2
Nov 9, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Aserri vs Escorpiones
1:3
Sep 23, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Escorpiones vs Aserri
3:1
Mar 25, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Escorpiones vs Aserri
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aserri Compare

Avg xG / game 0.34
Avg xA / game 0.22

Escorpiones Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopez R.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aserri 10 / 100
Escorpiones 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aserri Escorpiones

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ESC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Aserri scored in 68% of their last 25 games.

Escorpiones let in goals in 59% of their last 27 matches.

Solid form: Aserri remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Aserri VS Escorpiones
0.5 Goals Scored 2.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.38
38% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Aserri

(Home)
01 Aug
Santa Ana
1 : 0
Aserri
12 Apr
Aserri
2 : 2
Cariari Pococi
04 Apr
Escorpiones
8 : 0
Aserri
31 Mar
Aserri
0 : 0
Carmelita
27 Mar
Santa Ana
3 : 2
Aserri
Page 1 of 5

Escorpiones

(Away)
09 Aug
Escorpiones
0 : 0
Zeledon
02 Aug
Alajuelense
2 : 1
Escorpiones
26 Jul
San Carlos
0 : 3
Escorpiones
12 May
Escorpiones
0 : 1
Inter San Carlos
05 May
Inter San Carlos
0 : 0
Escorpiones
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ADR Jicaral 14 9 3 2 25:12 30
2 Inter San Carlos 14 8 4 2 25:14 28
3 Quepos FC 14 9 1 4 30:21 28
4 Santa Cruz 14 4 5 5 19:17 17
5 Grecia 14 4 5 5 16:18 17
6 AD Sarchi 14 4 5 5 19:23 17
7 Cofutpa 14 2 4 8 14:27 10
8 Dep. Upala 14 0 5 9 15:31 5
9 Municipal Turrialba 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Escorpiones 14 10 2 2 33:10 32
2 CS Uruguay 14 7 2 5 25:20 23
3 Pitbulls 14 6 4 4 20:16 22
4 FC Moravia 14 5 4 5 19:19 19
5 Cariari Pococi 14 3 6 5 19:23 15
6 Aserri 14 2 8 4 15:28 14
7 Santa Ana 13 3 3 7 19:28 12
8 Carmelita 13 2 5 6 10:16 11
9 Limon Black Star 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)