Sport Picks

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Aserri vs Limon Black Star

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026
Sun, Mar 22, 2026
VS
09:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aserri host Limon Black Star in the Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026. Aserri are expected to control this from the start. Recent numbers: Aserri at 0.96 goals for, 1.7 against; Limon Black Star at 1.2 for, 1.6 against. Past meetings favor Aserri slightly — 1-0-4 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 22, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.20 - 1.00) back Aserri to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Aserri
25%
Draws
35%
Limon Black Star
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Aserri

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Aserri carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Aserri are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Aserri Clean Sheet 20%
Limon Black Star Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aserri Limon Black Star
Matches Played 27 10
Wins 6 3
Draws 11 3
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 0.96 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Aserri vs Limon Black Star
0:0
Feb 8, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Limon Black Star vs Aserri
0:0
Oct 26, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Limon Black Star vs Aserri
0:0
Sep 7, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Aserri vs Limon Black Star
0:0
Apr 6, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Aserri vs Limon Black Star
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aserri 40 / 100
Limon Black Star 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aserri Limon Black Star

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aserri Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aserri found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (27 games).

Solid form: Aserri remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Aserri VS Limon Black Star
0.75 Goals Scored 0
2.38 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Aserri

(Home)
26 Sept
FC Moravia
1 : 0
Aserri
20 Sept
Aserri
1 : 0
Santa Ana
12 Sept
CS Uruguay
0 : 1
Aserri
06 Sept
Aserri
1 : 1
Cariari Pococi
28 Aug
Carmelita
1 : 2
Aserri
Page 1 of 6

Limon Black Star

(Away)

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ADR Jicaral 14 9 3 2 25:12 30
2 Inter San Carlos 14 8 4 2 25:14 28
3 Quepos FC 14 9 1 4 30:21 28
4 Santa Cruz 14 4 5 5 19:17 17
5 Grecia 14 4 5 5 16:18 17
6 AD Sarchi 14 4 5 5 19:23 17
7 Cofutpa 14 2 4 8 14:27 10
8 Dep. Upala 14 0 5 9 15:31 5
9 Municipal Turrialba 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Escorpiones 14 10 2 2 33:10 32
2 CS Uruguay 14 7 2 5 25:20 23
3 Pitbulls 14 6 4 4 20:16 22
4 FC Moravia 14 5 4 5 19:19 19
5 Cariari Pococi 14 3 6 5 19:23 15
6 Aserri 14 2 8 4 15:28 14
7 Santa Ana 13 3 3 7 19:28 12
8 Carmelita 13 2 5 6 10:16 11
9 Limon Black Star 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)