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ASF Dioulasso vs USFA

Burkina Faso Burkina Faso

Premier League Stade Général Aboubacar Sangoulé Lamizana, Bobo Dioulasso
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Cherif G.
28' Event
Kone V.
38' Event
Zakou B.

AI Match Summary

USFA in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored USFA.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
ASF Dioulasso
20%
Draws
58%
USFA
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: USFA

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • USFA have won more games recently than ASF Dioulasso.
  • Model gives USFA a 58% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
ASF Dioulasso Clean Sheet 24%
USFA Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ASF Dioulasso USFA
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 11
Draws 10 14
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 0.83 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.03 0.6
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 6, 2026 Premier League
ASF Dioulasso vs USFA
2:4
Dec 12, 2025 Premier League
USFA vs ASF Dioulasso
1:0
Mar 9, 2025 Premier League
ASF Dioulasso vs USFA
0:0
Nov 27, 2024 Premier League
USFA vs ASF Dioulasso
0:0
Apr 28, 2024 Premier League
USFA vs ASF Dioulasso
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

ASF Dioulasso Compare

Top Goalscorer Cherif G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ouedraogo A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.43
Avg xA / game 0.28

USFA Compare

Top Goalscorer Zakou B.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kone V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ASF Dioulasso 10 / 100
USFA 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ASF Dioulasso USFA

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick USFA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ASF Dioulasso's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: USFA conceded in 43% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: ASF Dioulasso remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

ASF Dioulasso VS USFA
0.5 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

ASF Dioulasso

(Home)
10 May
Salitas
3 : 2
ASF Dioulasso
03 May
Sonabel Ouagadougou
2 : 0
ASF Dioulasso
26 Apr
ASF Dioulasso
0 : 2
Real Du Faso
18 Apr
Etoile Filante
0 : 1
ASF Dioulasso
11 Apr
Bobo-Dioulasso
2 : 1
ASF Dioulasso
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USFA

(Away)
10 May
Bobo-Dioulasso
0 : 2
USFA
03 May
USFA
0 : 0
Kadiogo
26 Apr
Majestic
1 : 1
USFA
19 Apr
USFA
0 : 1
Rahimo
12 Apr
AJE Bobo-Dioulasso
1 : 2
USFA
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rahimo 30 20 9 1 47:15 69
2 USFA 30 12 13 5 31:17 49
3 Sporting Cascades 30 10 13 7 25:18 43
4 AS Douanes 30 10 13 7 29:29 43
5 Majestic 30 11 10 9 26:27 43
6 CFFEB 30 10 10 10 25:25 40
7 Salitas 30 10 10 10 29:31 40
8 Kadiogo 30 10 8 12 27:27 38
9 ASFA Yennega 30 9 11 10 24:28 38
10 Vitesse 30 9 10 11 25:25 37
11 Real Du Faso 30 9 10 11 21:23 37
12 ASF Dioulasso 30 9 10 11 25:31 37
13 Sonabel Ouagadougou 30 8 12 10 24:28 36
14 Etoile Filante 30 7 12 11 22:29 33
15 Bobo-Dioulasso 30 6 9 15 11:28 27
16 AJE Bobo-Dioulasso 30 6 8 16 27:37 26
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)