Sport Picks

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ASFA Yennega vs Etoile Filante

Burkina Faso Burkina Faso

Premier League 2025/2026 Stade du 4 Aout, Ouagadougou
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Kabore B.
Assist: Silga W. A. U.
58' Event
Likeh I.
Assist: Kabre H.
62' Event
Diarra A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
ASFA Yennega
20%
Draws
58%
Etoile Filante
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Etoile Filante

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • ASFA Yennega have won more games recently than Etoile Filante.
  • Etoile Filante are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
ASFA Yennega Clean Sheet 18%
Etoile Filante Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ASFA Yennega Etoile Filante
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 7
Draws 10 12
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 0.79 0.73
Goals Conceded 1 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Premier League
ASFA Yennega vs Etoile Filante
2:2
Nov 9, 2025 Premier League
Etoile Filante vs ASFA Yennega
2:1
Mar 28, 2025 Premier League
Etoile Filante vs ASFA Yennega
0:2
Nov 10, 2024 Premier League
ASFA Yennega vs Etoile Filante
1:0
Apr 23, 2024 Premier League
Etoile Filante vs ASFA Yennega
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

ASFA Yennega Compare

Top Goalscorer Likeh I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Toure A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Etoile Filante Compare

Top Goalscorer Kabore B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ASFA Yennega 10 / 100
Etoile Filante 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ASFA Yennega Etoile Filante

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Etoile Filante Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Etoile Filante's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

ASFA Yennega scored in 55% of their last 29 games.

Recent resilience: ASFA Yennega stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

ASFA Yennega VS Etoile Filante
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

ASFA Yennega

(Home)
28 Sept
Vitesse
1 : 0
ASFA Yennega
19 Sept
ASFA Yennega
1 : 0
US Comoe
10 May
Sonabel Ouagadougou
1 : 0
ASFA Yennega
03 May
ASFA Yennega
0 : 1
Real Du Faso
26 Apr
AJE Bobo-Dioulasso
4 : 2
ASFA Yennega
Page 1 of 6

Etoile Filante

(Away)
10 May
Real Du Faso
0 : 0
Etoile Filante
03 May
Etoile Filante
3 : 0
AJE Bobo-Dioulasso
26 Apr
Sporting Cascades
0 : 0
Etoile Filante
18 Apr
Etoile Filante
0 : 1
ASF Dioulasso
12 Apr
Etoile Filante
2 : 0
Majestic
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rahimo 30 20 9 1 47:15 69
2 USFA 30 12 13 5 31:17 49
3 Sporting Cascades 30 10 13 7 25:18 43
4 AS Douanes 30 10 13 7 29:29 43
5 Majestic 30 11 10 9 26:27 43
6 CFFEB 30 10 10 10 25:25 40
7 Salitas 30 10 10 10 29:31 40
8 Kadiogo 30 10 8 12 27:27 38
9 ASFA Yennega 30 9 11 10 24:28 38
10 Vitesse 30 9 10 11 25:25 37
11 Real Du Faso 30 9 10 11 21:23 37
12 ASF Dioulasso 30 9 10 11 25:31 37
13 Sonabel Ouagadougou 30 8 12 10 24:28 36
14 Etoile Filante 30 7 12 11 22:29 33
15 Bobo-Dioulasso 30 6 9 15 11:28 27
16 AJE Bobo-Dioulasso 30 6 8 16 27:37 26
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)