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ASFA Yennega vs Etoile Filante

Burkina Faso Burkina Faso

Premier League Stade du 4 Aout
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Kabore B.
Assist: Silga W. A. U.
58' Event
Likeh I.
Assist: Kabre H.
62' Event
Diarra A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
ASFA Yennega
28%
Draws
50%
Etoile Filante
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Etoile Filante

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • ASFA Yennega have won more games recently than Etoile Filante.
  • Etoile Filante are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
ASFA Yennega Clean Sheet 21%
Etoile Filante Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ASFA Yennega Etoile Filante
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 7
Draws 11 12
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.13 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.13 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Premier League
ASFA Yennega vs Etoile Filante
2:2
Nov 9, 2025 Premier League
Etoile Filante vs ASFA Yennega
2:1
Mar 28, 2025 Premier League
Etoile Filante vs ASFA Yennega
0:2
Nov 10, 2024 Premier League
ASFA Yennega vs Etoile Filante
1:0
Apr 23, 2024 Premier League
Etoile Filante vs ASFA Yennega
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

ASFA Yennega Compare

Top Goalscorer Likeh I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Toure A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Etoile Filante Compare

Top Goalscorer Kabore B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ASFA Yennega 24 / 100
Etoile Filante 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ASFA Yennega Etoile Filante

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ETO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Etoile Filante's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

ASFA Yennega scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Recent resilience: ASFA Yennega stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

ASFA Yennega VS Etoile Filante
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rahimo30209147:1569
2USFA301213531:1749
3Sporting Cascades301013725:1843
4AS Douanes301013729:2943
5Majestic301110926:2743
6CFFEB3010101025:2540
7Salitas3010101029:3140
8Kadiogo301081227:2738
9ASFA Yennega309111024:2838
10Vitesse309101125:2537
11Real Du Faso309101121:2337
12ASF Dioulasso309101125:3137
13Sonabel Ouagadougou308121024:2836
14Etoile Filante307121122:2933
15Bobo-Dioulasso30691511:2827
16AJE Bobo-Dioulasso30681627:3726