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ASFAN vs Urana - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Niger Niger

Super Ligue Stade du Camp Bagagi Iya, Niamey
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
03:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

ASFAN host Urana in the Super Ligue. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. ASFAN have averaged 1.39 scored and 0.97 conceded recently, against Urana's 0.9 scored and 1.32 conceded. Head-to-head, ASFAN have won 5 to Urana's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Mar 28, 2026, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 1.13 vs 0.81, favoring ASFAN. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
ASFAN
35%
Draws
25%
Urana
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: ASFAN

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Urana haven't matched ASFAN's recent run of results.
  • Model gives ASFAN a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Super Ligue form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • ASFAN have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
ASFAN Clean Sheet 20%
Urana Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ASFAN Urana
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 15 9
Draws 8 8
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1.39 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Super Ligue
Urana vs ASFAN
1:2
Jan 24, 2026 Super Ligue
ASFAN vs Urana
2:1
Jun 20, 2025 Super Ligue
ASFAN vs Urana
1:0
Dec 3, 2024 Super Ligue
Urana vs ASFAN
2:3
May 20, 2024 Super Ligue
ASFAN vs Urana
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ASFAN 76 / 100
Urana 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ASFAN Urana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ASFAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ASFAN scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

Urana let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Solid form: ASFAN remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

ASFAN VS Urana
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

ASFAN

(Home)
11 Oct
US Gendarmerie
2 : 1
ASFAN
04 Oct
Wombeye
1 : 1
ASFAN
27 Sept
ASFAN
1 : 1
Liberte
19 Sept
Tagour
1 : 2
ASFAN
12 Sept
ASFAN
2 : 0
Douanes Niamey
Page 1 of 7

Urana

(Away)
10 Oct
Urana
0 : 1
Wombeye
04 Oct
Urana
1 : 1
Sahel
22 Sept
Douanes Niamey
1 : 2
Urana
18 Sept
US Gendarmerie
4 : 0
Urana
12 Sept
Urana
0 : 0
Liberte
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 US Gendarmerie 6 6 0 0 12:2 18
2 AS Garde Nationale 6 4 1 1 9:3 13
3 Sahel 6 3 3 0 9:4 12
4 Urana 6 3 2 1 6:7 11
5 ASFAN 6 2 3 1 8:6 9
6 Niima 6 1 4 1 5:6 7
7 Tagour 6 2 1 3 4:7 7
8 Police 5 1 3 1 4:3 6
9 Wombeye 6 1 3 2 4:4 6
10 Douanes Niamey 6 1 3 2 3:5 6
11 AS UAM 6 1 3 2 3:5 6
12 Espoir 6 1 2 3 3:6 5
13 Liberte 6 1 2 3 2:6 5
14 Nigelec 5 0 3 2 0:2 3
15 AS ZAM 5 0 3 2 2:5 3
16 JS Tahoua 5 0 2 3 2:5 2
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)