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Ashford United vs Maidstone

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Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Yila J.
41' Event
Gilbert J.
64' Event
Strouts J.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between Ashford United and Maidstone finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Ashford United
15%
Draws
34%
Maidstone
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ashford United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Maidstone carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 90%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 65%
Over 4.5 Goals 29%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Ashford United Clean Sheet 10%
Maidstone Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ashford United Maidstone
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 15 22
Draws 2 4
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 2.11 2.28
Goals Conceded 1.64 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.07 2.64
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Club Friendly
Maidstone vs Ashford United
4:0
Jul 5, 2025 Club Friendly
Ashford United vs Maidstone
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ashford United Compare

Top Goalscorer Strouts J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader West M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.54

Maidstone Compare

Top Goalscorer Yila J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gilbert J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.4
Avg xA / game 1.47

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ashford United 30 / 100
Maidstone 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ashford United Maidstone

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maidstone Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Ashford United scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Maidstone let in goals in 63% of their last 32 matches.

Maidstone's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ashford United VS Maidstone
1.4 Goals Scored 2.88
2.4 Goals Conceded 0.75
80% Over 1.5 100%
80% Over 2.5 88%
80% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ashford United

(Home)
26 Sept
Ashford United
0 : 1
Deal Town
12 Sept
Ascot United
1 : 3
Ashford United
29 Aug
Crowborough
2 : 4
Ashford United
01 Aug
Dartford
4 : 0
Ashford United
25 Jul
Maidstone
4 : 0
Ashford United
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Maidstone

(Away)
26 Sept
Maidstone
1 : 2
Truro
22 Sept
Maidstone
0 : 2
Cray Wanderers
19 Sept
Cray Wanderers
1 : 1
Maidstone
12 Sept
Braintree
2 : 1
Maidstone
08 Sept
Tonbridge
0 : 1
Maidstone
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