Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ashington vs Workington

World World

Club Friendly 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Reilly L.
43' Event
Reilly L.
57' Event
Reilly L.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2023 game between Ashington and Workington finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Workington.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Ashington
15%
Draws
49%
Workington
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Workington

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ashington come out ahead of Workington on wins alone.
  • Ashington are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Ashington Clean Sheet 20%
Workington Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ashington Workington
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 14 13
Draws 5 8
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.82 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 27, 2024 Club Friendly
Ashington vs Workington
0:1
Jul 29, 2023 Club Friendly
Ashington vs Workington
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ashington Compare

Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Workington Compare

Top Goalscorer Reilly L.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ashington 49 / 100
Workington 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ashington Workington

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ashington Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ashington's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Workington conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Ashington went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ashington VS Workington
3 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 50%
100% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ashington

(Home)
29 Aug
Ashington
3 : 1
West Auckland Town
31 Aug
Crook Town
2 : 1
Ashington
30 Jul
Ashington
4 : 0
Spennymoor
27 Jul
Ashington
0 : 1
Workington
23 Jul
Morpeth
2 : 3
Ashington
Page 1 of 6

Workington

(Away)
31 Aug
Lancaster
0 : 3
Workington
29 Aug
Workington
3 : 2
Leek Town
25 Aug
Workington
3 : 2
Warrington Rylands
22 Aug
United of Manchester
1 : 2
Workington
19 Aug
Avro
4 : 1
Workington
Page 1 of 6