Sport Picks
Ashton United vs Cleethorpes - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
NPL Premier Division 
Match Events
65'
65'
Hey L.
AI Match Summary
The NPL Premier Division game between Ashton United and Cleethorpes finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cleethorpes.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
27%
30%
43%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cleethorpes
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Cleethorpes come out ahead of Ashton United on wins alone.
- Cleethorpes are the model's pick here, at 70%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Cleethorpes here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Ashton United Clean Sheet 10%
Cleethorpes Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ashton United | Cleethorpes |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 13 |
| Draws | 8 | 10 |
| Losses | 10 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.41 | 1.82 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.3 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Ashton United vs Cleethorpes
0:1
Mar 14, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Cleethorpes vs Ashton United
2:2
Nov 1, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Ashton United vs Cleethorpes
0:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ashton United Compare
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Cleethorpes Compare
Top Goalscorer Hey L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ashton United 14 / 100
Cleethorpes 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ashton United Cleethorpes
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Cleethorpes Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ashton United found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (27 games).
Cleethorpes let in goals in 61% of their last 28 matches.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Ashton United has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Ashton United VS Cleethorpes
1.5 Goals Scored 2.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Ashton United
(Home) 06 Oct
Quorn
2 : 2 Ashton United
26 Sept
Warrington Town
2 : 3 Ashton United
19 Sept
Buxton
1 : 0 Ashton United
12 Sept
Ashton United
0 : 1 Cleethorpes
05 Sept
Whitby
2 : 5 Ashton United
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Ashton United
0 : 1 Cleethorpes
28 Aug
Ashton United
1 : 2 Gainsborough
25 Aug
Ashton United
1 : 1 Ilkeston
18 Aug
Ashton United
2 : 0 Whitby
08 Aug
Ashton United
4 : 1 Lancaster
Page 1 of 3
Cleethorpes
(Away) 06 Oct
Cleethorpes
1 : 0 Hyde
03 Oct
Workington
1 : 1 Cleethorpes
26 Sept
Cleethorpes
5 : 1 Lancaster
22 Sept
Cleethorpes
1 : 1 Redcar Athletic
12 Sept
Ashton United
0 : 1 Cleethorpes
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Workington
1 : 1 Cleethorpes
12 Sept
Ashton United
0 : 1 Cleethorpes
31 Aug
Gainsborough
0 : 3 Cleethorpes
22 Aug
Ilkeston
0 : 3 Cleethorpes
15 Aug
Warrington Town
1 : 1 Cleethorpes
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cleethorpes | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 27:7 | 27 |
| 2 | Redcar Athletic | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 23:11 | 25 |
| 3 | Guiseley | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 24:11 | 22 |
| 4 | Avro | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 28:16 | 22 |
| 5 | Workington | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 23:19 | 21 |
| 6 | Warrington Rylands | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 20:17 | 20 |
| 7 | Curzon Ashton | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 21:11 | 19 |
| 8 | Alfreton | 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 18:13 | 18 |
| 9 | Warrington Town | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 20:16 | 18 |
| 10 | Bury FC | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 19:9 | 16 |
| 11 | Gainsborough | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20:14 | 16 |
| 12 | Lancaster | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 13:19 | 16 |
| 13 | Hyde | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13:21 | 14 |
| 14 | Ashton United | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 12:11 | 12 |
| 15 | Whitby | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 17:32 | 12 |
| 16 | Stockton | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 15:22 | 11 |
| 17 | Leek Town | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 22:23 | 10 |
| 18 | Quorn | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 18:27 | 10 |
| 19 | AFC Emley | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10:22 | 10 |
| 20 | Bamber Bridge | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 16:31 | 9 |
| 21 | Ilkeston | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 7:26 | 7 |
| 22 | United of Manchester | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12:20 | 5 |
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