Sport Picks
Ashton United vs Ilkeston Prediction & H2H Stats
England
NPL Premier Division 2025/2026 
AI Match Summary
The NPL Premier Division 2025/2026 game between Ashton United and Ilkeston finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ashton United
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Ashton United come out ahead of Ilkeston on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Ashton United's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular NPL Premier Division 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Ashton United Clean Sheet 68%
Ilkeston Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ashton United | Ilkeston |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 10 | 8 |
| Draws | 8 | 5 |
| Losses | 12 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.33 | 0.96 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.27 | 1.71 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.13 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 25, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Ashton United vs Ilkeston
1:1
Mar 21, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Ashton United vs Ilkeston
0:0
Nov 8, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Ilkeston vs Ashton United
0:2
Feb 1, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Ashton United vs Ilkeston
2:1
Sep 28, 2024 NPL Premier Division
Ilkeston vs Ashton United
2:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ashton United 95 / 100
Ilkeston 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ashton United Ilkeston
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ashton United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Away concern: Ilkeston has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.
Ashton United found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).
Ilkeston let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Scoring Trends
Ashton United VS Ilkeston
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 3
75% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Ashton United
(Home) 26 Sept
Warrington Town
2 : 3 Ashton United
19 Sept
Buxton
1 : 0 Ashton United
12 Sept
Ashton United
0 : 1 Cleethorpes
05 Sept
Whitby
2 : 5 Ashton United
31 Aug
Curzon Ashton
2 : 0 Ashton United
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Ashton United
0 : 1 Cleethorpes
28 Aug
Ashton United
1 : 2 Gainsborough
25 Aug
Ashton United
1 : 1 Ilkeston
18 Aug
Ashton United
2 : 0 Whitby
08 Aug
Ashton United
4 : 1 Lancaster
Page 1 of 3
Ilkeston
(Away) 29 Sept
Ilkeston
0 : 1 Warrington Rylands
26 Sept
Ilkeston
1 : 3 Anstey Nomads
12 Sept
Workington
3 : 1 Ilkeston
05 Sept
Leamington
3 : 1 Ilkeston
31 Aug
Ilkeston
0 : 2 Quorn
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Workington
3 : 1 Ilkeston
05 Sept
Leamington
3 : 1 Ilkeston
29 Aug
Bury FC
7 : 0 Ilkeston
25 Aug
Ashton United
1 : 1 Ilkeston
15 Aug
Whitby
2 : 0 Ilkeston
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hebburn Town | 40 | 23 | 10 | 7 | 75:41 | 79 |
| 2 | Hednesford | 40 | 22 | 11 | 7 | 62:35 | 77 |
| 3 | United of Manchester | 40 | 21 | 9 | 10 | 65:41 | 72 |
| 4 | Warrington Rylands | 40 | 18 | 13 | 9 | 59:42 | 67 |
| 5 | Stockton | 40 | 18 | 12 | 10 | 62:50 | 63 |
| 6 | Lancaster | 40 | 17 | 11 | 12 | 56:45 | 62 |
| 7 | Gainsborough | 40 | 16 | 11 | 13 | 50:45 | 59 |
| 8 | Leek Town | 40 | 17 | 7 | 16 | 50:52 | 58 |
| 9 | Cleethorpes | 40 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 56:47 | 55 |
| 10 | Ashton United | 40 | 14 | 11 | 15 | 47:54 | 53 |
| 11 | Ilkeston | 40 | 15 | 7 | 18 | 52:54 | 52 |
| 12 | Bamber Bridge | 40 | 14 | 8 | 18 | 52:52 | 50 |
| 13 | Guiseley | 40 | 13 | 9 | 18 | 46:56 | 48 |
| 14 | Warrington Town | 40 | 12 | 12 | 16 | 43:63 | 48 |
| 15 | Hyde | 40 | 11 | 14 | 15 | 58:63 | 47 |
| 16 | Rushall | 40 | 12 | 11 | 17 | 48:61 | 47 |
| 17 | Whitby | 40 | 10 | 13 | 17 | 43:55 | 43 |
| 18 | Workington | 40 | 10 | 13 | 17 | 43:58 | 43 |
| 19 | Prescot Cables | 40 | 9 | 15 | 16 | 40:50 | 42 |
| 20 | Morpeth | 40 | 12 | 6 | 22 | 38:54 | 42 |
| 21 | Stocksbridge | 40 | 8 | 12 | 20 | 38:65 | 36 |
Promotion - National League North (Main)
Promotion - NPL Premier Division 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
