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Ashton United vs Redcar Athletic - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

NPL Premier Division
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ashton United host Redcar Athletic in the NPL Premier Division. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Ashton United at 1.44 goals for, 1.33 against; Redcar Athletic at 1.68 for, 1.41 against. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. The numbers (1.25 xG vs 1.69) point toward Redcar Athletic. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Ashton United
30%
Draws
47%
Redcar Athletic
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Redcar Athletic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Redcar Athletic carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Redcar Athletic are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular NPL Premier Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Ashton United Clean Sheet 13%
Redcar Athletic Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ashton United Redcar Athletic
Matches Played 27 22
Wins 9 11
Draws 8 4
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.44 1.68
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ashton United 22 / 100
Redcar Athletic 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ashton United Redcar Athletic

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Redcar Athletic Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ashton United scored in 67% of their last 27 outings.

Recent resilience: Ashton United stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Redcar Athletic conceded in 59% of 22 recent games.

Difficult form: Redcar Athletic registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ashton United VS Redcar Athletic
1.5 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ashton United

(Home)
10 Oct
Leek Town
2 : 2
Ashton United
06 Oct
Quorn
2 : 2
Ashton United
26 Sept
Warrington Town
2 : 3
Ashton United
19 Sept
Buxton
1 : 0
Ashton United
12 Sept
Ashton United
0 : 1
Cleethorpes
Page 1 of 6

Redcar Athletic

(Away)
10 Oct
Ilkeston
0 : 5
Redcar Athletic
06 Oct
Curzon Ashton
3 : 1
Redcar Athletic
03 Oct
Redcar Athletic
3 : 1
Alfreton
26 Sept
FC Guisborough Town
0 : 1
Redcar Athletic
22 Sept
Cleethorpes
1 : 1
Redcar Athletic
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Redcar Athletic 14 9 4 1 31:12 31
2 Cleethorpes 13 9 3 1 30:7 30
3 Guiseley 12 8 1 3 25:11 25
4 Avro 12 8 1 3 34:23 25
5 Warrington Rylands 14 7 2 5 25:21 23
6 Gainsborough 12 7 1 4 25:16 22
7 Curzon Ashton 12 7 1 4 24:16 22
8 Warrington Town 12 6 4 2 23:18 22
9 Workington 14 6 3 5 24:24 21
10 Lancaster 14 6 2 6 19:26 20
11 Bury FC 11 6 1 4 22:11 19
12 Alfreton 14 6 1 7 20:16 19
13 Whitby 13 5 1 7 19:33 16
14 Hyde 14 4 3 7 15:25 15
15 Ashton United 12 3 5 4 14:13 14
16 Quorn 13 3 5 5 23:29 14
17 Stockton 14 3 3 8 17:25 12
18 Leek Town 12 2 5 5 24:25 11
19 AFC Emley 13 2 5 6 12:25 11
20 Bamber Bridge 13 2 4 7 16:32 10
21 United of Manchester 12 1 4 7 15:23 7
22 Ilkeston 14 2 1 11 8:34 7
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