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Ashton United vs Warrington Rylands - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

NPL Premier Division
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ashton United host Warrington Rylands in the NPL Premier Division. This one's hard to separate. Warrington Rylands have shipped 1.41 goals a game lately, while Ashton United have conceded 1.3 and scored 1.44. Head-to-head, Ashton United have won 2 to Warrington Rylands's 0, with 3 draws. They last met on Jan 24, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.31 vs 1.88, favoring Ashton United. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Ashton United
35%
Draws
41%
Warrington Rylands
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Warrington Rylands

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Warrington Rylands have won more games recently than Ashton United.
  • Win probability leans Warrington Rylands's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular NPL Premier Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Ashton United Clean Sheet 10%
Warrington Rylands Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ashton United Warrington Rylands
Matches Played 27 32
Wins 9 15
Draws 9 4
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.44 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Ashton United vs Warrington Rylands
2:1
Sep 16, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Warrington Rylands vs Ashton United
1:1
Dec 21, 2024 NPL Premier Division
Ashton United vs Warrington Rylands
1:1
Aug 13, 2024 NPL Premier Division
Warrington Rylands vs Ashton United
3:4
Jan 6, 2024 NPL Premier Division
Ashton United vs Warrington Rylands
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ashton United 22 / 100
Warrington Rylands 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ashton United Warrington Rylands

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Warrington Rylands Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ashton United found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (27 games).

Warrington Rylands let in goals in 75% of their last 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Ashton United went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ashton United VS Warrington Rylands
1.5 Goals Scored 2.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Ashton United

(Home)
13 Oct
Ashton United
0 : 0
Alfreton
10 Oct
Leek Town
2 : 2
Ashton United
06 Oct
Quorn
2 : 2
Ashton United
26 Sept
Warrington Town
2 : 3
Ashton United
19 Sept
Buxton
1 : 0
Ashton United
Page 1 of 6

Warrington Rylands

(Away)
13 Oct
Warrington Rylands
5 : 1
Curzon Ashton
10 Oct
Cleethorpes
3 : 0
Warrington Rylands
06 Oct
Leek Town
3 : 3
Warrington Rylands
03 Oct
Warrington Rylands
4 : 1
AFC Emley
29 Sept
Ilkeston
0 : 1
Warrington Rylands
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Redcar Athletic 14 9 4 1 31:12 31
2 Cleethorpes 13 9 3 1 30:7 30
3 Guiseley 12 8 1 3 25:11 25
4 Avro 12 8 1 3 34:23 25
5 Warrington Rylands 14 7 2 5 25:21 23
6 Gainsborough 12 7 1 4 25:16 22
7 Curzon Ashton 12 7 1 4 24:16 22
8 Warrington Town 12 6 4 2 23:18 22
9 Workington 14 6 3 5 24:24 21
10 Lancaster 14 6 2 6 19:26 20
11 Bury FC 11 6 1 4 22:11 19
12 Alfreton 14 6 1 7 20:16 19
13 Whitby 13 5 1 7 19:33 16
14 Hyde 14 4 3 7 15:25 15
15 Ashton United 12 3 5 4 14:13 14
16 Quorn 13 3 5 5 23:29 14
17 Stockton 14 3 3 8 17:25 12
18 Leek Town 12 2 5 5 24:25 11
19 AFC Emley 13 2 5 6 12:25 11
20 Bamber Bridge 13 2 4 7 16:32 10
21 United of Manchester 12 1 4 7 15:23 7
22 Ilkeston 14 2 1 11 8:34 7
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