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Asker vs Baerum - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 1 Foyka Stadium, Asker
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 1 game between Asker and Baerum finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Asker.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Asker
15%
Draws
0%
Baerum
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Asker

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Asker come out ahead of Baerum on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Asker's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Asker Clean Sheet 10%
Baerum Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Asker Baerum
Matches Played 27 32
Wins 20 16
Draws 1 3
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 3.3 2.94
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.94
Expected Goals (xG) 2.69 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2026 Division 3 - Group 1
Asker vs Baerum
4:2
May 16, 2026 Division 3 - Group 1
Baerum vs Asker
2:4
Mar 16, 2025 OBOS Supercup
Baerum vs Asker
4:0
Aug 17, 2024 Division 3 - Group 3
Asker vs Baerum
0:1
May 20, 2024 Division 3 - Group 3
Baerum vs Asker
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Asker 83 / 100
Baerum 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Asker Baerum

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Asker Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Asker scored in 96% of their last 27 outings.

Baerum has conceded goals in 84% of their last 32 outings.

H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Baerum registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Asker VS Baerum
3.38 Goals Scored 2.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Asker

(Home)
03 Oct
Grei
4 : 3
Asker
26 Sept
Asker
1 : 0
Nordstrand
20 Sept
Gamle Oslo
1 : 2
Asker
14 Sept
Asker
7 : 2
KFUM Oslo 2
08 Sept
Asker
1 : 4
Stromsgodset
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Baerum

(Away)
04 Oct
Baerum
1 : 2
Ready
01 Oct
Baerum
1 : 5
Lillestrom
26 Sept
Valerenga 2
2 : 0
Baerum
19 Sept
Baerum
1 : 2
Union Carl Berner
13 Sept
Lokomotiv Oslo
5 : 2
Baerum
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