Sport Picks

Stadium Background

ASM Oran vs El Kerma

Algeria Algeria

Ligue 2 2020/2021
Our Tip

Match Events

65' Event
77' Event

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Ligue 2 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
ASM Oran
20%
Draws
29%
El Kerma
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: ASM Oran

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • ASM Oran have won more games recently than El Kerma.
  • Win probability leans ASM Oran's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Ligue 2 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
ASM Oran Clean Sheet 68%
El Kerma Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ASM Oran El Kerma
Matches Played 44 28
Wins 26 6
Draws 7 9
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.36 1.11
Goals Conceded 0.73 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 19, 2021 Ligue 2
El Kerma vs ASM Oran
1:1
Apr 3, 2021 Ligue 2
ASM Oran vs El Kerma
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ASM Oran 86 / 100
El Kerma 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ASM Oran El Kerma

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ASM Oran Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

El Kerma let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.

ASM Oran found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (44 games).

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: ASM Oran remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

ASM Oran VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

ASM Oran

(Home)
08 May
Adrar
1 : 4
ASM Oran
01 May
ASM Oran
0 : 1
RC Kouba
25 Apr
WA Mostaganem
1 : 0
ASM Oran
18 Apr
ASM Oran
1 : 0
Saida
10 Apr
Harrach
1 : 2
ASM Oran
Page 1 of 9

El Kerma

(Away)
11 Jan
US Chaouia
2 : 1
El Kerma
03 Jan
El Kerma
2 : 1
ASO Chlef
26 Jun
SC Ain Defla
3 : 0
El Kerma
19 Jun
El Kerma
1 : 1
ASM Oran
05 Jun
Remchi
0 : 0
El Kerma
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chelghoum 22 12 7 3 32:18 43
2 Annaba 22 11 8 3 24:8 41
3 US Chaouia 22 10 8 4 35:21 38
4 Khenchela 22 10 8 4 27:20 38
5 Telaghema 22 10 4 8 27:18 34
6 MO Constantine 22 9 6 7 27:28 33
7 CA Batna 22 9 5 8 22:19 32
8 Eulma 22 8 6 8 23:24 30
9 Khroub 22 5 7 10 20:31 22
10 Ouled Djellal 22 5 5 12 24:29 20
11 MSP Batna 22 5 2 15 20:36 17
12 Tadjenant 22 4 2 16 24:53 14
Promotion - Ligue 2 2020/2021 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Oued Sly 22 15 5 2 36:13 50
2 CR Temouchent 22 14 4 4 31:14 46
3 ASM Oran 22 12 6 4 30:17 42
4 JSM Tiaret 22 11 6 5 38:23 39
5 Saida 22 9 4 9 30:28 31
6 Ain Ouessara 22 7 6 9 30:33 27
7 El Khemis 22 8 3 11 15:21 27
8 SC Ain Defla 22 6 7 9 25:35 25
9 RC Oued Rhiou 22 6 5 11 16:29 23
10 Remchi 22 6 4 12 24:33 22
11 El Kerma 22 4 9 9 26:32 21
12 OM Arzew 22 2 5 15 21:44 11
Promotion - Ligue 2 2020/2021 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arba 22 12 5 5 30:15 41
2 Bejaia 22 12 5 5 29:22 41
3 MO Bejaia 22 10 8 4 22:11 38
4 RC Kouba 22 8 9 5 24:21 33
5 Widad Adabi de Boufarik 22 8 9 5 22:22 33
6 Harrach 22 8 7 7 19:22 31
7 ES Ben Aknoun 22 7 10 5 22:14 31
8 Beni Thour 22 8 5 9 28:26 29
9 Lakhdaria 22 7 8 7 18:16 29
10 Amal Bou Saada 22 8 2 12 26:35 26
11 Msila 22 5 2 15 20:34 17
12 USM Blida 22 2 4 16 13:35 10
Promotion - Ligue 2 2020/2021 (Promotion)