Sport Picks

Stadium Background

ASM Oran vs Tlemcen

Algeria Algeria

Ligue 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 2 2025/2026 game between ASM Oran and Tlemcen finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward ASM Oran.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
ASM Oran
15%
Draws
34%
Tlemcen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: ASM Oran

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • ASM Oran carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans ASM Oran's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Ligue 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
ASM Oran Clean Sheet 68%
Tlemcen Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ASM Oran Tlemcen
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 11
Draws 3 7
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.31 0.97
Goals Conceded 0.79 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 27, 2026 Ligue 2
ASM Oran vs Tlemcen
1:0
Nov 7, 2025 Ligue 2
Tlemcen vs ASM Oran
0:1
Mar 31, 2023 Ligue 2
ASM Oran vs Tlemcen
0:1
Nov 19, 2022 Ligue 2
Tlemcen vs ASM Oran
2:2
Feb 22, 2020 Ligue 2
ASM Oran vs Tlemcen
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ASM Oran 77 / 100
Tlemcen 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ASM Oran Tlemcen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ASM Oran Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ASM Oran's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Tlemcen conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Recent resilience: ASM Oran stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

ASM Oran VS Tlemcen
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
25% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

ASM Oran

(Home)
08 May
Adrar
1 : 4
ASM Oran
01 May
ASM Oran
0 : 1
RC Kouba
25 Apr
WA Mostaganem
1 : 0
ASM Oran
18 Apr
ASM Oran
1 : 0
Saida
10 Apr
Harrach
1 : 2
ASM Oran
Page 1 of 6

Tlemcen

(Away)
08 May
CR Temouchent
2 : 0
Tlemcen
01 May
Tlemcen
2 : 0
Kolea
25 Apr
JS El Biar
1 : 0
Tlemcen
18 Apr
Tlemcen
3 : 1
Bechar Djedid
10 Apr
RC Kouba
4 : 1
Tlemcen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Biskra 30 19 5 6 41:16 62
2 CA Batna 30 18 6 6 40:18 60
3 US Chaouia 30 18 6 6 55:22 60
4 MO Bejaia 30 17 9 4 44:18 60
5 JS Djijel 30 14 9 7 41:28 51
6 Annaba 30 14 6 10 35:21 48
7 Magra 30 10 9 11 29:30 39
8 Beni Thour 30 10 7 13 27:39 37
9 MSP Batna 30 9 9 12 32:36 36
10 Telaghema 30 9 9 12 32:37 36
11 Beni Oulbane 30 9 9 12 28:34 36
12 MO Constantine 30 9 9 12 25:33 36
13 Bordj Menail 30 9 8 13 34:31 35
14 Khroub 30 9 9 12 31:31 35
15 IB Khemis El Khechna 30 5 7 18 27:51 22
16 Chelghoum 30 1 3 26 13:89 4
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 JS El Biar 30 24 4 2 53:17 76
2 Harrach 30 18 8 4 46:19 62
3 CR Temouchent 30 17 8 5 38:23 59
4 RC Kouba 30 17 8 5 33:14 59
5 ASM Oran 30 18 4 8 38:19 58
6 Hussein Dey 30 11 10 9 34:24 43
7 Tlemcen 30 11 7 12 28:32 40
8 JSM Tiaret 30 11 6 13 35:31 39
9 Kolea 30 9 9 12 26:34 36
10 WA Mostaganem 30 9 8 13 32:39 35
11 Saida 30 9 7 14 26:29 34
12 GC Mascara 30 8 7 15 28:36 31
13 Arba 30 9 5 16 24:41 29
14 Tixeraine 30 7 5 18 30:46 26
15 Adrar 30 5 5 20 26:64 20
16 Bechar Djedid 30 4 5 21 29:58 17
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)