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ASM Oran vs WA Mostaganem - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Algeria Algeria

Ligue 2
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 2 game between ASM Oran and WA Mostaganem finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward ASM Oran.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
ASM Oran
15%
Draws
34%
WA Mostaganem
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: ASM Oran

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and ASM Oran come out ahead of WA Mostaganem on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans ASM Oran's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
ASM Oran Clean Sheet 68%
WA Mostaganem Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ASM Oran WA Mostaganem
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 17 7
Draws 3 8
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.34 1.18
Goals Conceded 0.76 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Ligue 2
ASM Oran vs WA Mostaganem
3:1
Apr 25, 2026 Ligue 2
WA Mostaganem vs ASM Oran
1:0
Dec 21, 2025 Ligue 2
ASM Oran vs WA Mostaganem
0:0
Apr 27, 2025 Ligue 2
WA Mostaganem vs ASM Oran
1:0
Dec 13, 2024 Ligue 2
ASM Oran vs WA Mostaganem
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ASM Oran 86 / 100
WA Mostaganem 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ASM Oran WA Mostaganem

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ASM Oran Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: ASM Oran scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

WA Mostaganem has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Away concern: WA Mostaganem has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Historical meetings average 1.20 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

ASM Oran VS WA Mostaganem
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.88
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

ASM Oran

(Home)
03 Oct
Saida
1 : 0
ASM Oran
26 Sept
ASM Oran
3 : 1
WA Mostaganem
19 Sept
Harrach
1 : 0
ASM Oran
08 May
Adrar
1 : 4
ASM Oran
01 May
ASM Oran
0 : 1
RC Kouba
Page 1 of 6

WA Mostaganem

(Away)
03 Oct
WA Mostaganem
3 : 1
JSM Tiaret
26 Sept
ASM Oran
3 : 1
WA Mostaganem
19 Sept
Saida
2 : 2
WA Mostaganem
08 May
Harrach
3 : 0
WA Mostaganem
01 May
WA Mostaganem
1 : 2
Saida
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Annaba 3 2 0 1 5:2 6
2 Skikda 3 2 0 1 3:1 6
3 Magra 3 2 0 1 3:4 6
4 Azazga 3 1 2 0 3:2 5
5 MO Constantine 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
6 MSP Batna 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
7 Khroub 3 1 2 0 1:0 5
8 MO Bejaia 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
9 Paradou 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
10 Beni Oulbane 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
11 IRB Nezla 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
12 US Chaouia 3 0 2 1 1:2 2
13 JS Djijel 2 0 1 1 0:1 1
14 Telaghema 3 0 1 2 3:5 1
15 CA Batna 3 0 1 2 2:4 1
16 Beni Thour 2 0 0 2 2:5 0
Promotion - Ligue 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RC Kouba 4 4 0 0 11:1 12
2 USM Blida 3 2 1 0 6:3 7
3 Saida 3 2 1 0 4:2 7
4 Harrach 4 2 1 1 6:5 7
5 GC Mascara 3 1 2 0 4:1 5
6 WA Mostaganem 3 1 1 1 6:6 4
7 Mostaganem 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
8 Sidi Benali 3 1 1 1 4:5 4
9 ASM Oran 3 1 0 2 3:3 3
10 Hussein Dey 3 1 0 2 2:3 3
11 Tlemcen 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
12 Kolea 2 1 0 1 1:3 3
13 El Bayadh 3 0 1 2 0:2 1
14 JSM Tiaret 3 0 1 2 3:6 1
15 Arba 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
16 Taghit 3 0 0 3 0:6 0
Promotion - Ligue 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)