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ASPAC vs Loto - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Benin Benin

Ligue 1 Stade de l'Amitié, Cotonou
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

ASPAC host Loto in the Ligue 1. Little to choose between these two on current form. Loto have shipped 0.77 goals a game lately, while ASPAC have conceded 0.8 and scored 1.5. Past meetings favor ASPAC slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 13, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.44 xG vs 0.94) point toward ASPAC. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
ASPAC
20%
Draws
29%
Loto
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: ASPAC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and ASPAC come out ahead of Loto on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans ASPAC's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
ASPAC Clean Sheet 20%
Loto Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ASPAC Loto
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 16 14
Draws 7 6
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.5 1
Goals Conceded 0.8 0.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2026 Ligue 1
Loto vs ASPAC
1:0
Feb 1, 2026 Ligue 1
ASPAC vs Loto
2:0
Jun 22, 2024 Ligue 1
Loto vs ASPAC
1:2
Feb 10, 2024 Ligue 1
ASPAC vs Loto
0:0
May 28, 2023 Ligue 1
ASPAC vs Loto
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ASPAC 76 / 100
Loto 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ASPAC Loto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ASPAC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ASPAC's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

ASPAC has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Loto conceded in 58% of 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

ASPAC VS Loto
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

ASPAC

(Home)
17 Oct
ASPAC
1 : 0
Hodio
10 Oct
ASVO
2 : 1
ASPAC
04 Oct
ASPAC
2 : 0
Djeffa
26 Sept
Espoir Savalou
0 : 1
ASPAC
16 Sept
ASPAC
2 : 4
Panthers
Page 1 of 6

Loto

(Away)
18 Oct
Loto
1 : 1
AS Cotonou
10 Oct
Bani Ganse
3 : 1
Loto
03 Oct
Loto
0 : 2
Buffles du Borgou
26 Sept
Dynamo Abomey
1 : 2
Loto
20 Jun
Coton FC
1 : 1
Loto
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cavaliers 4 3 1 0 11:1 10
2 Buffles du Borgou 4 3 1 0 7:2 10
3 ASPAC 4 3 0 1 5:2 9
4 Bani Ganse 4 2 2 0 6:3 8
5 Pantheres FC 4 2 1 1 4:2 7
6 AS Cotonou 4 2 1 1 5:5 7
7 Djeffa 4 2 0 2 4:5 6
8 ASVO 4 2 0 2 3:4 6
9 Krake 4 2 0 2 4:6 6
10 Hodio 4 1 2 1 5:3 5
11 Damissa 4 1 2 1 4:3 5
12 Sobemap 4 0 4 0 2:2 4
13 Coton FC 4 1 1 2 5:7 4
14 Ayema 4 1 1 2 4:6 4
15 Loto 4 1 1 2 4:7 4
16 Espoir Savalou 4 0 2 2 1:4 2
17 Dragons 4 0 1 3 1:6 1
18 Dynamo Abomey 4 0 0 4 4:11 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)