Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Assabah and Al Madina finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Assabah.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
20%
29%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Assabah
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Al Madina come out ahead of Assabah on wins alone.
- Model gives Assabah a 51% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Assabah Clean Sheet 17%
Al Madina Clean Sheet 18%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Assabah | Al Madina |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 18 | 33 |
| Wins | 6 | 14 |
| Draws | 4 | 6 |
| Losses | 8 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 0.67 | 1.3 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.27 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 23, 2026 Premier League
Assabah vs Al Madina
1:0
Feb 7, 2026 Premier League
Al Madina vs Assabah
0:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Assabah 39 / 100
Al Madina 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Assabah Al Madina
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Assabah Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Al Madina conceded in 70% of 33 recent games.
Assabah went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Difficult form: Al Madina registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Assabah scored in 56% of their last 18 games.
Scoring Trends
Assabah VS Al Madina
0.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Assabah
(Home) 23 Apr
Assabah
1 : 0 Al Madina
18 Apr
Al Qadisiyah
1 : 0 Assabah
13 Apr
Assabah
0 : 3 Asswehly
08 Apr
Al-Khmes
2 : 2 Assabah
16 Mar
Assabah
1 : 0 Abu Salim
Page 1 of 4
23 Apr
Assabah
1 : 0 Al Madina
13 Apr
Assabah
0 : 3 Asswehly
16 Mar
Assabah
1 : 0 Abu Salim
03 Mar
Assabah
0 : 1 Al Watan
25 Feb
Assabah
0 : 0 Al Dahra
Page 1 of 2
Al Madina
(Away) 24 May
Al Madina
1 : 1 Al Ittihad Misurata
20 May
Al Madina
0 : 3 Asswehly
14 May
Al Madina
0 : 1 Al Ahly Tripoli
10 May
Al-Ittihad
2 : 1 Al Madina
06 May
Al Madina
3 : 2 Olympic Azzaweya
Page 1 of 7
10 May
Al-Ittihad
2 : 1 Al Madina
23 Apr
Assabah
1 : 0 Al Madina
13 Apr
Al Dahra
3 : 3 Al Madina
09 Apr
Al Qadisiyah
0 : 2 Al Madina
10 Mar
Al-Khmes
0 : 2 Al Madina
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Ahly Tripoli | 18 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 47:9 | 47 |
| 2 | Asswehly | 18 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 35:9 | 43 |
| 3 | Al Madina | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 23:22 | 28 |
| 4 | Al Watan | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 14:18 | 23 |
| 5 | Assabah | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 12:18 | 22 |
| 6 | Al Malaab El Libby | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 15:21 | 20 |
| 7 | Al-Khmes | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 19:31 | 20 |
| 8 | Al Qadisiyah | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 11:24 | 19 |
| 9 | Al Dahra | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 20:27 | 14 |
| 10 | Abu Salim | 18 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 13:30 | 13 |
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Ittihad | 16 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 35:9 | 42 |
| 2 | Olympic Azzaweya | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 25:11 | 31 |
| 3 | Al Ittihad Misurata | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 21:11 | 27 |
| 4 | Al-Majd | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 14:13 | 23 |
| 5 | Al Shomooa | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 24:19 | 22 |
| 6 | Shabab Al-Ghar | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 17:27 | 18 |
| 7 | Al Tirsana | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 15:23 | 16 |
| 8 | Ittihad Gharyan | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 10:25 | 10 |
| 9 | Abi Al Ashar | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 9:32 | 6 |
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Military Union | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 26:9 | 35 |
| 2 | Al Hilal Benghazi | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 20:11 | 34 |
| 3 | Al Ahly Benghazi | 16 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 23:6 | 33 |
| 4 | Al Taawun | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 19:14 | 26 |
| 5 | Darnes | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 16:16 | 20 |
| 6 | Al Sadaqa | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 16:17 | 19 |
| 7 | Al-Anwar | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 8 | Al Borouq | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 7:21 | 10 |
| 9 | Al-Suqoor | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 13:35 | 6 |
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Nasr | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 28:7 | 35 |
| 2 | Al Akhdar | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 16:9 | 28 |
| 3 | Al-Afreeki | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 29:18 | 23 |
| 4 | Al Tahaddi | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 21:14 | 21 |
| 5 | Khaleej Sirte | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 25:22 | 19 |
| 6 | Wefaq Ajdabiya | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 13:17 | 18 |
| 7 | Al Murooj SC | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 16:24 | 13 |
| 8 | Al-Andalus | 14 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 1:38 | 0 |
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
