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Assaut vs Franciscain - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Martinique Martinique

Trophee Gerard Janvion
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
07:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Assaut host Franciscain in the Trophee Gerard Janvion. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Franciscain have shipped 0.69 goals a game lately, while Assaut have conceded 1.31 and scored 1.5. Past meetings favor Franciscain slightly — 1-4-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Nov 26, 2022, ending 3:2. xG projections (0.95 - 1.64) back Franciscain to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Assaut
15%
Draws
58%
Franciscain
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Franciscain

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Franciscain lately — more wins on the board than Assaut.
  • Win probability leans Franciscain's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Franciscain here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 26.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Assaut Clean Sheet 13%
Franciscain Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Assaut Franciscain
Matches Played 32 35
Wins 13 28
Draws 7 3
Losses 12 4
Goals Scored 1.5 2.31
Goals Conceded 1.31 0.69
Expected Goals (xG) 0.95 1.64
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 26, 2022 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Franciscain vs Assaut
3:2
Oct 1, 2022 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Assaut vs Franciscain
3:2
May 14, 2022 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Assaut vs Franciscain
3:4
Apr 7, 2022 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Franciscain vs Assaut
3:1
May 25, 2019 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Franciscain vs Assaut
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Assaut 10 / 100
Franciscain 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Assaut Franciscain

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Franciscain Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.80 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Assaut scored in 78% of their last 32 outings.

Recent resilience: Assaut stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Franciscain let in goals in 54% of their last 35 matches.

Scoring Trends

Assaut VS Franciscain
1.4 Goals Scored 1.88
1.4 Goals Conceded 0.5
60% Over 1.5 75%
40% Over 2.5 50%
40% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Assaut

(Home)
10 Oct
Golden Lion
6 : 1
Assaut
12 Sept
Assaut
5 : 0
Espoir
05 Sept
Assaut
1 : 1
RC Riviere-Pilote
13 May
Assaut
1 : 2
Club Peleen
06 May
CS Case-Pilote
1 : 2
Assaut
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Franciscain

(Away)
10 Oct
Franciscain
1 : 0
Inter de Sainte-Anne
12 Sept
Trenelle
1 : 5
Franciscain
05 Sept
Franciscain
4 : 1
RC Lorrain
06 Jun
Franciscain
2 : 1
Morne des Esses
30 May
Espoir
0 : 1
Franciscain
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Golden Lion 4 3 1 0 13:3 14
2 Franciscain 4 3 1 0 10:2 14
3 RC Saint Joseph 3 3 0 0 13:1 12
4 Inter de Sainte-Anne 3 2 0 1 3:1 9
5 Club Peleen 3 2 0 1 6:7 9
6 Assaut 3 1 1 1 7:7 7
7 Golden Star 3 1 1 1 2:2 7
8 Morne des Esses 3 1 1 1 6:7 7
9 Samaritaine 4 0 3 1 4:5 7
10 RC Riviere-Pilote 3 0 2 1 2:3 5
11 Club Colonial 3 0 2 1 3:5 5
12 Trenelle 3 0 2 1 4:8 5
13 Espoir 4 0 0 4 0:15 4
14 RC Lorrain 3 0 0 3 4:11 3
Promotion - CONCACAF Caribbean Cup (Main)