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Assisense vs America SP

Brazil Brazil

Paulista B
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Fernando J. S.
60' Event
Neves M.

AI Match Summary

The Paulista B game between Assisense and America SP finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Assisense
35%
Draws
45%
America SP
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: America SP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and America SP come out ahead of Assisense on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans America SP's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Paulista B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 72.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Assisense Clean Sheet 14%
America SP Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Assisense America SP
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 10
Draws 10 11
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.3 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.37 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.03 1.59
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2026 Paulista B
Assisense vs America SP
1:1
Apr 18, 2026 Paulista B
America SP vs Assisense
1:0
Jun 18, 2017 Paulista A4
Assisense vs America SP
1:2
Apr 29, 2017 Paulista A4
America SP vs Assisense
4:1
Aug 16, 2015 Paulista A4
America SP vs Assisense
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Assisense Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernando J. S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.79
Avg xA / game 0.52

America SP Compare

Top Goalscorer Neves M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.88

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Assisense 19 / 100
America SP 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Assisense America SP

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick America SP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Assisense scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: America SP conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Assisense remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Assisense VS America SP
1.43 Goals Scored 1.75
1.43 Goals Conceded 0.63
57% Over 1.5 88%
29% Over 2.5 38%
29% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Assisense

(Home)
04 Jul
Matonense
0 : 0
Assisense
27 Jun
Assisense
0 : 1
Matonense
20 Jun
Assisense
4 : 4
Riopretano
14 Jun
Jose Bonifacio EC
1 : 0
Assisense
05 Jun
Assisense
4 : 2
Santa Fe SP
Page 1 of 6

America SP

(Away)
09 Aug
America SP
2 : 0
Independente SP
02 Aug
Itaqua
0 : 3
America SP
26 Jul
America SP
1 : 1
Itaqua
19 Jul
Jose Bonifacio EC
2 : 4
America SP
11 Jul
America SP
0 : 0
Jose Bonifacio EC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jose Bonifacio EC 10 6 4 0 17:6 22
2 America SP 10 5 4 1 13:7 19
3 Assisense 10 3 5 2 17:15 14
4 Tupa 10 4 1 5 14:16 13
5 Riopretano 10 1 4 5 9:16 7
6 Santa Fe SP 10 2 0 8 10:20 6
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independente SP 10 8 0 2 37:7 24
2 Matonense 10 7 1 2 28:10 22
3 Sao Carlos 10 4 3 3 19:11 15
4 Santacruzense 10 4 2 4 19:13 14
5 Mogi Mirim 10 4 0 6 15:15 12
6 Catanduvense 10 0 0 10 4:66 0
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flamengo SP 10 7 2 1 13:6 23
2 Paulinense 10 5 0 5 9:16 15
3 Audax-SP 10 5 1 4 15:9 13
4 Paulinia FU 10 3 1 6 11:14 10
5 Votoraty SP 10 2 1 7 12:19 7
6 Guarulhos 10 5 1 4 19:15 4
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Itaqua 10 8 1 1 21:6 25
2 Maua FC 10 4 4 2 20:15 16
3 Uniao Mogi 10 5 2 3 14:13 14
4 Manthiqueira 10 4 2 4 17:17 14
5 Mauaense 10 3 3 4 10:10 12
6 Barcelona SP 10 0 0 10 5:26 0
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)