Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Paulista A4 2019 game between Assisense and Independente SP finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Assisense.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
20%
51%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Independente SP
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Assisense haven't matched Independente SP's recent run of results.
- 51% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Paulista A4 2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Assisense Clean Sheet 10%
Independente SP Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Assisense | Independente SP |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 20 |
| Draws | 10 | 2 |
| Losses | 11 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.3 | 2.4 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.37 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.96 | 2.46 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 19, 2025 Paulista B
Independente SP vs Assisense
3:2
Jul 11, 2025 Paulista B
Assisense vs Independente SP
1:0
Sep 15, 2019 Paulista A4
Assisense vs Independente SP
1:0
Aug 24, 2019 Paulista A4
Independente SP vs Assisense
2:0
Jul 27, 2019 Paulista A4
Independente SP vs Assisense
0:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Assisense 30 / 100
Independente SP 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Assisense Independente SP
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Independente SP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Assisense scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.
Independente SP let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 1.80 goals.
Assisense went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Assisense VS Independente SP
1.43 Goals Scored 3.5
1.43 Goals Conceded 0.5
57% Over 1.5 75%
29% Over 2.5 25%
29% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Assisense
(Home) 04 Jul
Matonense
0 : 0 Assisense
27 Jun
Assisense
0 : 1 Matonense
20 Jun
Assisense
4 : 4 Riopretano
14 Jun
Jose Bonifacio EC
1 : 0 Assisense
05 Jun
Assisense
4 : 2 Santa Fe SP
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27 Jun
Assisense
0 : 1 Matonense
20 Jun
Assisense
4 : 4 Riopretano
05 Jun
Assisense
4 : 2 Santa Fe SP
22 May
Assisense
1 : 1 America SP
08 May
Assisense
2 : 2 Jose Bonifacio EC
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Independente SP
(Away) 16 Aug
Independente SP
4 : 1 America SP
09 Aug
America SP
2 : 0 Independente SP
02 Aug
Independente SP
2 : 0 Flamengo SP
25 Jul
Flamengo SP
1 : 0 Independente SP
19 Jul
Independente SP
2 : 1 Paulinense
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09 Aug
America SP
2 : 0 Independente SP
25 Jul
Flamengo SP
1 : 0 Independente SP
12 Jul
Paulinense
0 : 1 Independente SP
28 Jun
Tupa
0 : 2 Independente SP
13 Jun
Sao Carlos
2 : 0 Independente SP
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Francana | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:7 | 10 |
| 2 | Marilia | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7:4 | 10 |
| 3 | Catanduva FC | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4:5 | 8 |
| 4 | Tupa | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7:11 | 6 |
Promotion - Paulista A4 2019 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fernandopolis | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10:5 | 13 |
| 2 | Sao Jose EC | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10:7 | 9 |
| 3 | Guarulhos | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9:6 | 9 |
| 4 | Catanduvense | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3:14 | 1 |
Promotion - Paulista A4 2019 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo SP | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:7 | 11 |
| 2 | Rio Branco SP | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8:9 | 9 |
| 3 | Itapirense | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 10:8 | 7 |
| 4 | Maua FC | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10:13 | 5 |
Promotion - Paulista A4 2019 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paulista | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10:6 | 11 |
| 2 | Assisense | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5:6 | 10 |
| 3 | Independente SP | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 8 |
| 4 | Amparo SP | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8:11 | 4 |
Promotion - Paulista A4 2019 (Play Offs)
