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Assisense vs Paulista

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A4 2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-2, with Paulista advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Assisense
30%
Draws
31%
Paulista
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Assisense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Paulista carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Assisense's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Paulista arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Paulista, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Paulista here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Assisense Clean Sheet 20%
Paulista Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Assisense Paulista
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 12
Draws 10 7
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.3 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.37 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 5, 2019 Paulista A4
Paulista vs Assisense
2:0
Sep 29, 2019 Paulista A4
Assisense vs Paulista
0:2
Sep 22, 2019 Paulista A4
Paulista vs Assisense
1:2
Aug 18, 2019 Paulista A4
Assisense vs Paulista
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Assisense 49 / 100
Paulista 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Assisense Paulista

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Assisense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Assisense's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Paulista has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.

Assisense went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Assisense VS Paulista
1.63 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Assisense

(Home)
04 Jul
Matonense
0 : 0
Assisense
27 Jun
Assisense
0 : 1
Matonense
20 Jun
Assisense
4 : 4
Riopretano
14 Jun
Jose Bonifacio EC
1 : 0
Assisense
05 Jun
Assisense
4 : 2
Santa Fe SP
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Paulista

(Away)
09 Aug
Osasco Sporting
1 : 1
Paulista
01 Aug
Paulista
0 : 2
Osasco Sporting
26 Jul
Juventus-SP
3 : 1
Paulista
18 Jul
Paulista
1 : 0
Primavera EC
05 Apr
Portuguesa Santista
2 : 0
Paulista
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Sao Jose EC 2
Marilia 4
Rio Branco SP 2
Fernandopolis 4
Francana 3
Flamengo SP 5
Assisense 0
Paulista 4
Semi-finals
Marilia 3
Fernandopolis 1
Flamengo SP 1
Paulista 4
Final
Marilia 3
Paulista 3